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Third Quarter 2009
Gross National Product & Gross Domestic Product

Sources of Revision
as of November 2009

Revisions in Q2 2009 GDP/GNP estimates

Based on the Revision Policy approved by the NSCB Executive Board and consistent with the international practice on the revision of National Accounts, GDP growth was revised downward by 0.68 percentage point from 1.5% to 0.8%. GNP was revised downward by negative 1.2 percentage point from 4.4% to 3.2%.

Expenditure Accounts

Q2 2008 - 2009
Growth Rates

As of August 2009 As of Nov. 2009 Change Reasons  for revisions
1. Personal Consumption Expenditure
         
Current       Availability of revised agriculture,  manufacturing and foreign trade data.
Q2 7.2 9.2 2.0
Constant      
Q2 2.2 5.4 3.2
         
2. Government  Consumption Expenditure
         
Current       Updated data on cash disbursements from DBM.
Q2 13.5 13.8 0.4
Constant      
Q2 9.1 9.7 0.6
         
3. Capital Formation
         
Current        
Q2 -1.5 -2.6 -1.1  
Constant        
Q2 -9.8 -10.3 -0.5  
         
   A. Fixed Capital        
         
Current        
Q2 3.6 1.5 -2.1  
Constant        
Q2 -1.9 -3.9 -1.9  
         
     1. Construction        
         
Current       Updated Building Permits and QSPBI from NSO 
Q2 19.8 16.7 -3.0
Constant      
Q2 11.7 8.9 -2.9
         
     2. Durable Equipment        
         
current       Due to revisions in the manufacturing sector and availability of June 2009 imports data.
Q2 -22.0 -22.7 -0.7
  constant      
Q2 -18.9 -19.7 -0.9
         
     3. Breeding Stocks &
         Orchard Dev't
       
         
current       Due to revised volume and price BAS data.
Q2 -6.6 -7.2 -0.6
  constant      
Q2 -4.9 -5.6 -0.7
         
     B. Change in  Stocks         
         
current       Due to updated QSPBI, MISSI, SRA & DOE data
Q2 -8,016 -5,005 3011
  constant      
Q2 -2,766 -1,774 993
         
4. Exports
         
current        
Q2 -11.9 -14.6 -2.7  
  constant        
Q2 -16.0 -18.1 -2.1  
         
   A. Total Mdse Exports        
         
current        
Q2 -20.6 -20.6 0.0  
  constant        
Q2 -22.4 -22.4 0.0  
         
   B. Non-Factor Services        
         
current       Revisions in BOP data.
Q2 21.0 8.1 -12.9
  constant      
Q2 15.2 3.0 -12.2
         
5. Imports
         
current        
Q2 -18.4 -17.9 0.5  
  constant        
Q2 -2.7 -2.2 0.5  
         
   A. Total Mdse Imports        
         
current        
Q2 -20.2 -20.2 0.0  
  constant        
Q2 -2.1 -2.1 0.0  
         
   B. Non-Factor Services        
         
current        
Q2 8.7 16.0 7.3  
  constant       Revisions in BOP data.
Q2 -9.3 -3.2 6.1  
         
6. NFIA
         
current       Updatad BOP data on  Investments Income Receipts and revised April-June BOP data.
Q2 36.4 29.2 -7.2
  constant      
Q2 29.7 23.9 -5.7
         

 

Production Accounts

Q2 2008 - 2009
Growth Rates

As of Aug. 2009 As of Nov. 2009 Change Reasons  for revisions
1. Agriculture, Fishery, Forestry
         
current       Revised volume and price data from BAS & log production data from FMB.
Q2 -3.5 -3.8 -0.3
  constant      
Q2 0.3 0.2 -0.2
         
2. Industry
         
current        
Q2 -2.3 -3.8 -1.5  
  constant        
Q2 -0.3 -1.7 -1.4  
         
   a. Mining and Quarrying        
         
current       Revised  production data from DOE, MGB and updated QSPBI.
Q2 -20.7 -19.9 0.8
  constant      
Q2 21.4 22.1 0.7
         
   b. Manufacturing        
         
current       Updated QSPBI and MISSI
Updated PPI and WPI for inflation.
Q2 -10.1 -10.2 -0.2
  constant      
Q2 -7.2 -7.4 -0.2
         
   c. Construction        
         
current       Updated QSPBI from NSO for Average Earning Index,
Updated Building Permits & QSPBI from NSO &
updated national government disbursements from DBM.
Q2 20.8 17.8 -3.0
  constant      
Q2 16.9 14.0 -2.9
         
   d. Electricity, Gas, Water        
         
current       Availability of 90 days QSPBI for Q2 and availability of revised transmission revenue. Error in the computation of generation revenue for Q2 2008.
Q2 14.3 6.4 -7.9
  constant      
Q2 2.9 -4.9 -7.7
         
3. Services
         
current        
Q2 5.9 5.5 -0.4  
  constant        
Q2 3.1 2.7 -0.4  
         
   a. Transport., Comm.,
       Storage
       
         
current       Updated QSPBI, updated PNR data, updated Airline data & Financial Statements.
Q2 1.8 0.9 -0.9
  constant      
Q2 1.7 1.0 -0.7
         
   b. Trade        
         
current       Updated QSPBI, availability of GWPI AND GRPI.
Q2 4.1 3.6 -0.5
  constant      
Q2 3.0 2.7 -0.3
         
   c. Finance        
         
current       Updated QSPBI & availability of Financial Statements
Q2 5.0 9.1 4.1
  constant      
Q2 1.8 5.8 4.0
         
   d. O. Dwellings & R. Estate        
         
current       Updated QSPBI
Q2 6.2 1.4 -4.8
  constant      
Q2 3.4 -2.5 -5.9
         
   e. Private Services        
         
current       Updated QSPBI
Q2 6.4 5.9 -0.5
  constant      
Q2 2.8 2.1 -0.7
         
   f. Government Services        
         
current       Updated data from DBM on cash disbursements of personal services and salary adjustments.
Q2 13.0 13.5 0.5
  constant      
Q2 7.7 8.7 0.9
         
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
         
current        
Q2 2.0 1.2 -0.7  
  constant        
Q2 1.5 0.8 -0.68  
         
GROSS NATIONAL  PRODUCT
         
current        
Q2 5.4 4.0 -1.4  
  constant        
Q2 4.4 3.2 -1.2  
         

 

 

 

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