NSCB - First Quarter 2007 GNP - Agriculture, Fishery and Forestry

First Quarter 2007
Gross National Product &
Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Origin

Maintained growth for AFF

AFF which accounted for 19.7 percent of total GDP, grew by 4.2 percent, only 0.1 percentage point higher than its year ago growth. The subsectors which recorded the fastest growths were Forestry, Corn, Fishery and Banana while those with the weakest growths were Coconut including copra and Sugarcane. The Forestry subsector put on an impressive recovery but with its tiny share of AFF at 0.08 percent, barely made an impact to the overall growth. Major contributors to growth were Fishery, Corn, Other Crops, Palay and Livestock.

Corn and Other crops: major growth drivers for Agriculture

Palay maintained a positive but a slower growth of 1.7 percent compared to 6.9 percent last year. Increased palay production was attributed to reported increases in area harvested in ARMM, Central Luzon, Cagayan Valley, Eastern Visayas and SOCCSKSARGEN. In addition, these regions reported early plantings in October to December as a result of sufficient water from rain and irrigation systems and available support from the GMA Rice Program. Cagayan Valley, meanwhile, adopted synchronized plantings to avoid tungro infestation. In SOCCSKSARGEN, farmers advanced their cropping period in anticipation of El Niño.

Corn, while experiencing growth slowdown this year nevertheless recorded a double digit growth of 11.4 percent from 22.1 percent last year. Sustained growth in corn production was due to sufficient rainfall and crop shifting from garlic to yellow corn in Ilocos region due to increased demand. Further, the corn cluster program interventions motivated farmers to cultivate corn.

Other Crops grew at a slightly faster pace of 3.0 percent than its year ago growth of 2.2 percent. The gain was brought on by the increase of bearing trees and absence of strong winds in the flowering stage of mango. Mango, it must be noted, accounted for almost 20 percent of the total production for Other Crops. Cassava, on the other hand, benefited from the continued expansion in the contract growing areas of San Miguel Corporation, La Tondeña and Phil-Agro.

Poultry rebounded from a 3.8 percent decline the previous year to a 2.3 percent gain this year. The recovery was driven by the significant increase in chicken production (commercial broiler) while chicken layers grew by 3.9 percent.

Livestock maintained a steady growth of 2.2 percent, which was largely contributed by the hog industry, attributable to the increased number of slaughtering and inventory of fatteners in CALABARZON and Bicol.

Favorable weather condition bolstered Fishery performance

Coming from a 4.9 percent gain last year, Fishery grew at a faster pace of 8.7 percent. Bolstering the growth of the sector for the quarter was the favorable weather condition resulting in better catch and more fishing trips.

Notable recovery from a previous slump to a double digit growth was recorded for Commercial fishing as a result of the decrease in the price of gasoline, particularly in CALABARZON, the introduction in Eastern Visayas of additional deep sea shelters or aggregating devices and higher demand for fish processing. For Municipal fishing, production benefited from the strict implementation of fishery laws against illegal fishing and the absence of foreign vessels in fishing grounds of Romblon which gave small fishermen bigger catch per trip. Biggest contribution to growth came from the Aquaculture, which managed to sustain a positive growth, albeit at a slower pace. Contributing factors were more intensive feeding, favorable weather conditions, and increased stocking due to effective dispersal program

Forestry recovers

Forestry rose from a 9.2 percent slump the previous year to a notable gain of 25.6 percent as a result of increased production of industrial tree plantation in CARAGA.

GROSS VALUE ADDED in AGRICULTURE, FISHERY & FORESTRY
1st Quarter 2006 and 1st Quarter 2007
IN MILLION PESOS

At Constant 1985 Prices

INDUSTRY/INDUSTRY GROUP	Q1 2006	Q1 2007	Growth Rate (%)
1. AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY	60,410	62,881	4.1
a. AGRICULTURE	47,064	48,375	2.8
Palay	9,669	9,832	1.7
Corn	3,645	4,061	11.4
Coconut including copra	2,051	1,960	-4.5
Sugarcane	2,877	2,866	-0.4
Banana	1,374	1,449	5.4
Other crops	11,797	12,152	3.0
Livestock	6,907	7,059	2.2
Poultry	6,422	6,570	2.3
Agricultural activities & services	2,322	2,427	4.5
b. FISHERY	13,346	14,506	8.7

2. FORESTRY	214	269	25.6

GROSS VALUE ADDED IN AGRICULTURE, FISHERY AND FORESTRY	60,624	63,150	4.2

At Current Prices

INDUSTRY/INDUSTRY GROUP	Q1 2006	Q1 2007	Growth Rate (%)
1. AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY	205,977	213,727	3.8
a. AGRICULTURE	174,532	179,059	2.6
Palay	32,269	33,606	4.1
Corn	12,302	14,634	19.0
Coconut including copra	9,754	11,598	18.9
Sugarcane	13,419	11,792	-12.1
Banana	8,352	9,077	8.7
Other crops	46,546	43,453	-6.6
Livestock	27,090	28,172	4.0
Poultry	15,914	17,460	9.7
Agricultural activities & services	8,886	9,267	4.3
b. FISHERY	31,445	34,668	10.2

2. FORESTRY	674	874	29.7

GROSS VALUE ADDED IN AGRICULTURE, FISHERY AND FORESTRY	206,651	214,602	3.8

GROSS VALUE ADDED in AGRICULTURE, FISHERY & FORESTRY
2005 and 2006
IN MILLION PESOS

INDUSTRY/INDUSTRY GROUP	AT CURRENT PRICES			AT CONSTANT PRICES
INDUSTRY/INDUSTRY GROUP	2005	2006	Growth Rate (%)	2005	2006	Growth Rate (%)
1. AGRICULTURE INDUSTRY	775,821	851,109	9.7	229,618	238,511	3.9
a. AGRICULTURE	659,481	721,286	9.4	177,836	183,686	3.3
Palay	128,923	134,431	4.3	39,051	40,987	5.0
Corn	33,653	45,469	35.1	12,518	14,494	15.8
Coconut including copra	41,430	39,087	-5.7	8,226	8,302	0.9
Sugarcane	18,698	27,653	47.9	5,691	6,136	7.8
Banana	33,960	37,194	9.5	5,740	6,192	7.9
Other crops	193,571	222,026	14.7	43,510	43,559	0.1
Livestock	110,832	111,360	0.5	27,742	28,397	2.4
Poultry	61,712	64,007	3.7	25,107	25,016	-0.4
Agricultural activities & services	36,703	40,058	9.1	10,250	10,603	3.4
b. FISHERY	116,340	129,823	11.6	51,782	54,825	5.9

2. FORESTRY	4,251	4,343	2.2	1,382	1,326	-4.0

GROSS VALUE ADDED IN AGRICULTURE, FISHERY AND FORESTRY	780,072	855,452	9.7	231,000	239,837	3.8

Source: National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)

Posted May 31, 2007.


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