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Transport Sector Development Plan1 targets: Tumatakbo ba?
(Posted 28 June 2012)

Out of 27 indicators 2 on the transport sector targets under   the Philippine Development Plan,   there are 17 indicators with low r probability of achieving the 2016 targets;  two indicators with medium r probability; and eight indicators with high rprobability. Thus, the transport sector has to move double time to achieve the 2016 targets. No more underspending, promise?

Let’s take a closer look on our progress in achieving our targets for the transport sector:

WATER TRANSPORT

GWith 178 million metric tons of cargo throughput recorded by the Philippine Ports Authority (PPA) in 2011, the 2016 target of 217 million metric tons has good chances of being achieved. This will require that eight million metric tons cargo throughput be captured by the PPA every year.

yThe target on the number of ports certified to ISO standards on selected processes has a medium chance of success.

 

yHowever, the following have only a low probability of achieving the 2016 targets:

• SBMA cargo throughput
  • Number of water transport passengers
  • Passenger seating capacity in port terminal building
  • Number of water vessels
  • Percentage of major gateways receiving foreign vessels

 

LAND TRANSPORT

GTargets on construction of permanent bridges along national arterial roads and on passengers of non-airconditioned Metro Manila buses are on track.

 

yBuilding of paved roads needs fasttracking from the existing 25,916 kilometers in 2011 to 31,242 kilometers in 2016. This will require spending annually for 1065 kilometers of paved roads from now to 2016.

yRequiring even greater efforts are the PDP targets on the following:

• length of arterial roads with roughness index of 3.0
• travel time in MM
  • travel speed in MM
  • passenger occupants in MM using airconditioned buses
  • vehicular accidents in MM

 

RAIL TRANSPORT

yBoth targets on increased ridership and revenue to cost ratio are unlikely to be met. Sana wala ng train derailment incident  like that with the LRT  in Roosevelt in February last year. Also let us hope  projects such as the Line 1 North Extension project, Line 1 South (Cavite) Extension Projects  and Rehabilitation Projects will succeed in providing us with “Serbisyong Ayos”.

 

AIR TRANSPORT

GFor air transport, the Plan targets for increased international and domestic flights and passenger traffic are very likely to be achieved except that for the Diosdado Macapagal International Airport. But we need to do something constructive and innovative to prevent flight delays due to the increased number of flights.

yAlso, cargo traffic in all the airports being monitored has not increased as fast as passenger traffic.

 

 

 

_______________
1 Based on the Philippine Development Plan (PDP)

2 Based on the Statistical Indicators on Philippine Development (StatDev), an online report which the NSCB prepares to monitor the achievements of the economic and social development goals set forth in the 2011-2016 PDP.

The StatDev contains various indicators from 19 sectoral chapters, and one of them is the transport sector.

 

Actual Data Versus Philippine Development Plan Targets
in Transport Sector Performance

INDICATOR 1/ BASELINE DATA
2010 2/
LATEST DATA
2011
TARGET
2016
HOW FAR FROM THE TARGET AVERAGE PER YEAR PACE OF PROGRESS PROBABILITY PROBABILITY 3/
OF ACHIEVING THE TARGET
DATA SOURCE AGENCY

Objective/result:  Quality, adequacy and accessibility of infrastructure facilities and services enhanced

WATER TRANSPORT
Number of cargo throughput (in million metric tons)

Subic Bay Port

2a/ 3 11 9 2 0.2 Low r SBMA

Philippine Ports Authority 

166 178 217 39 8 1.4 High G PPA
Number of water transport passengers
(in millions)
52 50 75 25 5 -0.5 Low r PPA
Passenger seating capacity in port terminal building 20,638 20,090 25,193 5,103 1,021 -0.7 Low r PPA
Number of water vessels (in thousands) 346 341 412 71 14 -0.5 Low r PPA
Number of ports certified to ISO standards on selected processes 0 1 7 6 1 0.9 Medium y PPA
Percentage of major gateways receiving foreign vessels (dredged to minimum of -11 m) 27% 27% 100% 1 0 0.0 Low r PPA
LAND TRANSPORT
Road density (road length/land area) 4/ 18.36 18.27 17.88 (0.39) -0.1 1.1 High G DPWH
Total length of arterial roads with roughness index of 3.0 (in kilometers) 5/ 0 1,400 6,600 5,200 1,040 0.0 Low r DPWH
Length of paved roads (in kilometers) 25,281 25,916 31,242 5,326 1,065 0.6 Medium y DPWH
Length of permanent bridges along national arterial roads (in meters) 318,300 335,043 345,978 10,935 2,187 3.6 High G DPWH
Travel time in Metro Manila (minute/km) 2.17 2.13 1.57 (1) 0 0.4 Low r MMDA
Travel speed in Metro Manila (km/hr) 27.79 28.10 38.20 10 2 0.18 Low r MMDA
Passenger occupants of MM city buses                  

Air-conditioned buses

40 38 65 27 5 -0.5 Low r MMDA

Non-airconditioned buses

37 45 45 0 0 6.0 High G MMDA
Number of vehicular accidents in Metro Manila per day 211 211 148 (63) -13 0.0 Low r MMDA
RAIL TRANSPORT
Annual ridership
(in million)
219 221 270 49 10 0.2 Low r

LRTA

Ratio of revenue to operation and maintenance cost
(Farebox Ratio)
1.05 1.01 1.15 0.14 0 -2.4 Low r LRTA
AIR TRANSPORT
International and domestic passenger traffic
(in millions)
                 

NAIA

27 30 40 10 2 1.4 High G NAIA

Mactan Airport

5 6 7 1 0 2.6 High G MCIAA

Airports under CAAP

15 31 26 -5 -1 8.6 High G CAAP

Diosdado Macapagal International Airport

0.65 0.77 4.65 4 1 0.2 Low r CIAC
International and domestic cargo traffic
(in million kgs)
                 

NAIA

424 410 515 104 21 -0.9 Low r NAIA

Mactan Airport

55 52 73 22 4 -1.0 Low r MCIAA

Airports under CAAP

587 502 1,040 538 108 -1.1 Low r CAAP

Diosdado Macapagal International Airport

45.74 41.28   -41 -8 -4.5 Low r CIAC
Number of NAIA domestic and internatinal flights (in thousands) 200 218 276 58 12 1.4 High G NAIA


Notes:

1/ Out of 30 outcome indicators identified in the Philippine Development Plan Results Matrices (PDP-RM) specifically in transport sector; there are 27 available indicators. Unavailable data include: (1) number of locations in Metro Manila with pedestrian-vehiclle conflict; (2) ratio of capacity to ridership; and (3) Philippine air traffic rights/entitlements

2/ Baseline data are for 2010, except as indicated.

3/ Probability is based on the comparison of actual (from baseline to latest data) and required (from baseline to target year) rates of progress.

4/ Only national road length is utilized in the computation of road density by the DPWH considering that local roads are outside the jurisdiction of the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH).

5/ Data on Roughness Index is taken from the DPWH PGS Scorecard (2010-2016). a/ Baseline year is 2008.

 

r  Low; pace of progress is less than 0.5 

y  Medium; pace of progress between 0.5 and 0.9

G  High; pace of progress is greater than 0.9

 

Source agencies:
CAAP – Civil Aviation Authority of the Philippines
CIAC – Clark International Airport Corporation
DPWH – Department of Public Works and Highways
LRTA - Light Rail Transit Authority
MMDA – Metro Manila Development Authority
MCIAA - Mactan Cebu International Airport Authority
NAIA - Ninoy Aquino International Airport
PPA - Philippine Ports Authority
SBMA - Subic Bay Metropolitan Authority

 

 

Prepared by:                                                           Under the Guidance of:


RACQUEL DOLORES V. SABEÑANO                         ROMULO A. VIROLA
Statistical Coordination Officer                                   Secretary General
Social Sectors A Division
Email: rdv.sabenano@nscb.gov.ph
Tel No.: (+632) 890-9678

Assisted by:

Libertie Masculino
Statistical Coordination Officer

Simonette A. Nisperos
Information Systems Analyst

Sonny U. Gutierrez
Statistical Coordination Officer

The author also acknowledges the assistance provided by Dir. Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Ms. Redencion M. Ignacio, Ms. Carmelita H. Destreza, Mr. Gerald Junne L. Clariño, and Ms. Vivian Velasco of UP-NCPAG.

 

 

 

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