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Quarterly
Economic Indices
A.
Coverage of Indices
The
quarterly indices on production, production per worker, gross revenue,
employment, compensation, compensation per employee and average earnings
are compiled for the following:
- Production
indices of agriculture, fishery and forestry, mining and quarrying as
well as electricity and water.
- Production
per worker indices of mining and quarrying as well as electricity and
water.
- Gross
revenue indices of manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, transportation
and communication, finance, real estate and private services.
- Employment
indices of mining and quarrying, manufacturing, electricity and water,
wholesale and retail trade, transportation and communications, finance,
real estate and private services.
- Compensation
indices of mining and quarrying, manufacturing, electricity and water,
wholesale and retail trade, transportation and communications, finance,
real estate as well as private services.
- Compensation
per employee indices of mining and quarrying, manufacturing, construction*,
electricity and water, wholesale and retail trade, transportation and
communications, finance, real estate as well as private services.
*
This used to the average earning indices
The
sectoral indices which are compiled using 1978 as base year, are based
on the data from quarterly surveys and reports from various administrative
and regulatory agencies. Although these quarterly data are available on
a sectoral basis, some sectors do not have comprehensive coverage to allow
the compilation of sectoral indices.
Thus,
indices on production cover only three sectors (agriculture, mining and
quarrying as well as electricity and water) while indices on gross revenue,
employment and compensation cover most sectors of industry (except construction)
and services. Indices on average earnings only cover the construction
sector. Hence, the QEI publication contains selected indices for the agriculture,
industry and service sectors and a summary of these indices (except production)
for the industry (except construction) and services sectors.
As
a matter of policy, revisions for the immediately preceding quarter may
be done in each issue of this publication while revisions for the other
quarters, if any, are made only during the Q1 round of estimates, which
regularly comes out in July. For this issue, revisions were made on Q1-1999
for the employment and compensation indices of mining and quarrying; and
Q1 1999 for the revenue index of manufacturing.
B.
Estimation Methodology
1.
Index on Volume of Production
The
Laspeyre's method is used to estimate the index of production for the
given quarter. This method represents the ratio of the current value
of production to the total value of production during the base year
period, expressed in percentage. The year 1978 is used as a base year
which is equivalent to the constant weight adopted for the index estimation.
The formula used is as follows:
| Index
on Volume of Production |
= |
Value
of Production at 1978 Prices for Period t
|
X
100 |
| Total
Value of Production at 1978 base year |
The
computed index for the specific aggregate sector is equivalent to the
total value of production at current prices as a ratio to the total
value of production at base year 1978. The aggregate sector refers to
the summation of the values of the subsectors covered within the sector.
For instance, the total value of the agriculture sector includes the
value of agricultural crops, livestock, poultry and fishery.
2.
Index on Production Per Worker
The
index of production per worker is estimated by dividing the total value
of production by the total number of workers for the sector. This is
estimated at constant 1978 prices using the formula as follows:
| Index
on Volume of Production Per Worker |
= |
Index
on Volume of Production
|
X
100 |
| Index
on Employment |
At
current prices, the estimate of the value of production is derived as
a product of the current quantity of production and the current price
per unit of production. At constant 1978 prices, the value of production
is equal to the current quantity of production for the year multiplied
by the 1978 price per unit of production.
3. Index
on Gross Revenue, Compensation and Employment
The
initial benchmark annual estimates were computed for the year 1978,
using the available 1978 Census of Establishments (CE) as major data
source for sectoral gross revenue, compensation and employment. These
estimates were supplemented by available data from the National Accounts
for sectoral gross value added as well as data from the 1978 Input-Output
Industry Tables which provide the 1978 structure by sector.
For
quarterly indices, the 1978 Quarterly Survey of Establishments (QSE)
provided the basis for the quarterly breakdown of the annual levels.
The corresponding indices for the quarter for each sector were equivalent
to the ratio of the quarterly levels to the average quarterly values
at base year 1978. For succeeding quarterly estimates, values were derived
as the product of the relatives of the matched set of data from responding
set of establishment for the sector which was based from the QSE and
the corresponding values for the previous quarter. The formula used
were as follows:
3.1
Index on Gross Revenue
| Index
on Gross Revenue |
= |
Total
Gross Revenue at Current Prices for Period t
|
X
100 |
| Gross
Revenue in 1978 |
3.2
Index on Compensation
| Index
on Compensation |
= |
Total
Compensation at Current Price
|
X
100 |
| Total
Compensation in 1978 |
3.3
Index on Employment
| Index
on Employment |
= |
Employment
for Period t
|
X
100 |
| Employment
in 1978 |
Total
values for the aggregate sector were derived as the summation of the
total value estimates of subsectors covered by the sector. The computed
index for the sector is then derived as the ratio to the corresponding
base year level aggregates.
The
sectoral estimates at constant prices are computed by dividing the quarterly
indices at current prices by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) which is
used as deflator.
4.
Compensation Per Employee Index
Indices
on Compensation Per Employee at current prices were derived as the Index
of Compensation on Compensation for the given year divided by the Index
on Employment for the same period. To arrive at the constant estimates,
the corresponding indices at current prices were divided by the Consumer
Prices Index (CPI).
At
current prices
| = |
Index
on Compensation
|
X
100 |
| Index
on Employment |
At
constant prices
| = |
Index
on Compensation Per Employee at Current Prices
|
X
100 |
| Consumer
Price Index at 1978 Prices |
For
construction however, the compensation per employee index at current
prices was computed as the ratio of total compensation divided by the
total employment for the quarter. This computed on a monthly basis and
the index of the quarter is equivalent to the average of three months
of the reference quarter.
| Compensation
Per Employee Index |
= |
Compensation
for Period t
|
X
100 |
|
Employment
for the Period t |
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