SCIENTIFIC PROGRAM
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SCIENTIFIC PROGRAM
9th National Convention on Statistics (NCS)
4-5 October 2004
EDSA Shangri-la Hotel, Mandaluyong City
Philippines
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 10:30 - 12:15
Isla Ballroom
Session Sponsor: Asian Institute of Management
Plenary Session 1: Statistics and Globalization
Chair: Dr. Federico M. Macaranas
· Developing Countries’ Statistical Challenges in the Global Economy
By Shaida Badiee, Misha Belkindas, Olivier Dupriez, Neil Fantom and Haeduck Lee
Discussant: Dr. Gerardo P. Sicat
October 5, 2004 (Tuesday), 03:15 – 4:45
Isla Ballroom
Session Sponsors: METAGORA
Department of Public Works and Highways
Plenary Session 2: Statistics in Local Governance
Chair: Vice Mayor Jesus C. Cruz/ Mr. Arturo B. Lumagod
· The Best and Worst Provinces in the Philippines: What Happened to their Leaders in the 2004 Elections?
by Romulo A. Virola, Severa B. de Costo, Joseph M. Addawe and Leonor G. Reyes
Discussant: Dr. Solita Collas-Monsod
· Basic Data: A Tool in Local Governance
by Mel Senen S. Sarmiento, Merla Abarquez-Rosalado and
Reo M. Marquez
Discussant: Vice Mayor Jesus C. Cruz
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 1:15 – 3:00
Boracay
Session 1A: Economic and Social Accounts
Chair: Asst. Sec. Gen. Estrella V. Domingo
· Changes in the Philippine Structure: Input – Output Analysis
by Ma. Julieta P. Soliven, Karen F. Villaquer and Dulce Joy D. Zozobrado
Discussant: Dr. Cid L. Terosa
· Enhancing the Compilation, Dissemination and Utilization of the Input – Output (I-O) Accounts in the Philippines
by Romulo A. Virola, Vivian R. Ilarina, Eileen P. Capilit, Florileen P. Santos, Marianne P. Abanilla and Marisol J. Ginez
Discussant: Dr. Cielito F. Habito
· Construction of Regional Social Accounting Matrix: Methodological Concerns and Empirical Issues
by Cristela Goce-Dakila and Francisco G. Dakila, Jr.
Discussant: Dr. Carlos C. Bautista
Batanes
Session 1B: Agriculture and Agrarian Reform Statistics
Chair: Dir. Romeo S. Recide
· Productive Indices of Selected Agricultural Commodities in the Philippines
by Minda C. Mangabat and Alegria A. Mota
Discussant: Dir. Romeo S. Recide
· Towards the Development of an Aquaculture Master Sample
by Reynaldo Q. Vallesteros, Jr.
Discussant: Dr. Dalisay S. Maligalig
· Profile of Agrarian Reform Beneficiaries Through CARP (Results from the 2000 Census of Population and Housing)
by Mercedita E. Tia and Teodoro M. Orteza
Discussant: Engr. Wilfredo DG. Cabagua
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 1:15 – 3:00
Palawan 2
Session 1C: Labor, Employment and Productivity Statistics
Chair: Dir. Ma. Criselda R. Sy/ Ms. Editha Rivera
· Institutionalizing Productivity Measures in the Philippine Statistical System
by Romulo A. Virola, Estrella V. Domingo, Raymundo J. Talento and Ava Gail D. Cas
Discussant: Dir. Ciriaco A. Lagunzad III
· Implementing the BLES Integrated Survey (BITS) in a Quality Management System Environment: A Work in Progress…..
by Teresa V. Peralta
Discussant: Ms. Nelia R. Marquez
· Trend Analysis of Overseas Filipino Workers Using Regression
by Emelyn G. Quinto and Josie B. Perez
Discussant: Administrator Rosalinda D. Baldoz
Palawan 1
Session 1D: Statistical Theory
Chair: Dr. Erniel B. Barrios
· A Note on Existence of Estimators Close in Bias
by Charlie S. Labina
Discussant: Dr. Adolfo M. de Guzman
· Generalization of the Dirichlet Distribution
by Epimaco A. Cabanlit, Jr., Roberto N. Padua and Khursheed Alam
Discussant: Dr. Joselito C. Magadia
· A Test of Exponentiality of Type-II Censored Samples
by Welfredo R. Patungan
Discussant: Dr. Ana Maria L. Tabunda
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 1:15 – 3:00
Mactan
Session 1E: Subnational Information Management Systems
Chair: Dir. Leonardo N. Quitos, Jr.
· Establishment of a Barangay Database Information System in Region 10
by Rosalinda C. Celeste
Discussant: Ms. Corazon P. Guray
· Barangay Households Information System (BaHIS): Gearing Towards the Production of Small Area Statistics
by Virgilio N. Fusilero, Ma. Leah C. Magracia and Heidy O. Palencia
Discussant: Dr. Ma. Rosalinda M. Lacsamana
Palawan 3
Session 1F: Luzon – Various Topics
Chair: Dr. Marilou G. Abon
· Correlational Studies of GPA with PRC Scores of First Batch of UPLBCA Licensed Agriculturists
by Nelita M. Lalican
Discussant: Dr. Florentina D. Monta
· Integrated Population Advocacy
by Erlinda P. Ramiro and Nelinda A. Erice
Discussant: Dr. Corazon M. Raymundo
· Forecasting the Employment Rates in the Philippines as Affected by the Gender Programs
by Rovelyn P. Basubas and Marcial P. Estolano
Discussant: Dr. Victoria Gengania
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 1:15 – 3:00
Lubang
Session 1G: Statistical Capacity Building I
Chair: Dr. Emeterio Solivas and Dir. Gervacio G. Selda, Jr.
· Academic Programs in Statistics in the Philippines
by Lisa Grace S. Bersales
· Upgrading the Capabilities of Statistical and National Agencies Through Agency-Specific Statistical Training Programs
by Winecito L. Tan
· Training Statisticians from Other Countries – An Emerging Market for the Statistical Research and Training Center
by Gervacio G. Selda, Jr.
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Boracay
Session 2A: Population Statistics
Chair: Dep. Adm. Paula Monina G. Collado
· Living Arrangements of the Elderly in the Philippines
by Socorro D. Abejo
Discussant: Dr. Emily Christi A. Cabegin
· The Contact Circle and Smoking Among the Filipino Youth: Event History Analysis
by Josefina V. Cabigon
Discussant: Dr. Marina Miguel-Baquilod
· Challenges in Planning for a Census in Region XI
by Virgilio N. Fusilero, Ma. Leah C. Magracia and Heidy O. Palencia
Discussant: Ms. Nelia R. Marquez
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Batanes
Session 2B: Poverty Statistics 1
Chair: ASec. Dolores de
Quiros-Castillo
Session Organizer: Ms. Fe Lita A. Cabral
· Concentration Indices of Production, Income and Poverty in the Philippines, 1997-2000
by Romulo A. Virola, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Bernadette B. Balamban, Rey Angelo M. Millendez, Florileen P. Santos and Ma. Rhoda A. Magsombol
Discussant: Dr. Dante B. Canlas
· A Critique of the Local Poverty Diagnosis and Planning System
by Victoria A. Bautista
Discussant: Dir. Manuel Q. Gotis
· Construction of Unidimensional and Multidimensional Poverty Indices Using the FIES and APIS Data
by Melissa Lopez-Reyes
Discussant: Dr. Corrine Grace B. Burgos
Palawan 2
Session 2C: Good Practices on Data Management at the Local Level
Chair: Dir. Rosalinda P. Bautista
· Making Civil Registration System Work Better Through the Inception of the Barangay Civil Registration System: A Strategic Maneuvering
by Salvador A. Aves
Discussant: Dir. Nelda Leda
· Institutionalizing a Responsive Socio-Economic Profile: The Experience of the Province of La Union
by Mario LibatiqueJr., Evelyn N. Tolentino, Fe Jennifer V. Yaranon, Karlo S. de la Cuesta and Gloria A. Miguel
Discussant: Ms. Corazon R. Buenaventura and Dir. Severino Santos
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Palawan 1
Session 2D: Statistics on Market and Social Research
Chair: Ms. Linda Luz B. Guererro
· A Grim Reality in the Midst of Growth: Violence Against Women in Naga City
by Cristina P. Lim
Discussant: Ms. Theresa D. Balayon
· A Comparison of Interview Mode Effects in the Philippine ISSP 1996 Module on Role of Government
by Gerardo A. Sandoval
Discussant: Dr. Jose Ramon G. Albert
· Who Helps Whom? Do the Poor Need the Government? An Analysis of Private Inter-Household Transfers as a Safety Net in the Philippines
by Liza Lorena C. Bagsao
Discussant: Dr. Emilio T. Antonio
Mactan
Session Sponsor: Philippine Health and Insurance Corporation
Session 2E: Health, Nutrition and Biostatistics 1
Chair: Dr. Jesus N. Sarol, Jr.
· Factors Affecting Maternal Health Utilization in the Philippines
by Shanna Elaine B. Rogan and Ma. Virginia R. Olveña
Discussants: Dra. Teresa D. Dioko, Dr. Jesus Emmanuel A.D. Sevilleja and Dr. Edgardo M. Garcia
· Indirect Estimates of Maternal Mortality: Philippines, 2000
by Benedicta A. Yabut and Faye A. Yabut
Discussants: Dra. Teresa D. Dioko, Dr. Jesus Emmanuel A.D. Sevilleja and Dr. Edgardo M. Garcia
· Parametric Survival Analysis of Breast Cancer Registry Data
by Christian Russel D. Reyes, Marilyn E. Crisostomo and Welfredo R. Patungan
Discussants: Dra. Teresa D. Dioko, Dr. Jesus Emmanuel A.D. Sevilleja and Dr. Edgardo M. Gonzaga
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Palawan 3
Session 2F: Visayas – Various Topics
Chair: Dr. Sonia P. Formacion
· Selection of Risk-Efficient Cropping Strategies Using Stochastic Dominance Analysis
by Remberto A. Patindol and Felino P. Lansigan
· A New Statistic to Detect Misfitting Score Vector
by Jonny P. Pornel, Leonardo S. Sotaridona and Arnolfo L. Valleejo
· A Stochastic Model for Coral Reef Recolonization
by Sonia P. Formacion and Gilma T. Tayo
Discussant: Dr. Cherry T. Nepomuceno
Lubang
Session 2G: Statistical Capacity Building 2
Chair: Dir. Gervacio G. Selda, Jr.
· Building the Statistical Capabilities at the Subnational Level Through SHRDP: The Region I, VI and IX Experience
by Leonardo N. Quitos, Jr. and Irenea B. Ubungen; Presentacion A. Penpillo; and Roberto N. Padua
· Community Level Statistical Information System- A Statistical Capacity Building Experiment
by Generoso G. de Guzman and Maura S. Lizarondo
· The Role of the Academe in the Continuing Development of the Statistical Manpower of the Philippine Statistical System: The UP School of Statistics Perspective
by Lisa Grace S. Bersales
October 4, 2004 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Mindoro
Session Sponsor: Department of Science and Technology
Session 2H: Energy, Science and Technology Statistics
Chair: Hon. Fortunato T. de la Peña
· Alternative Methods of Benchmarking the Efficiency of Philippine Electric Cooperatives
by Rouselle F. Lavado
Discussant: Dir. Roderick N. Padua
· Improving the Philippine Research and Development Statistical System
by Bernie S. Justimbaste
Discussant: Dr. Zita VJ Albacea
· Energy, Research and Development Statistics: Relevance to the National Energy Program
by Graciano P. Yumul, Raul C. Sabularse and Nonilo A. Peña
Discussant: Dir. Elizabeth G. Navalta
October 5, 2004 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Boracay
Session 3A: Environment and Natural Resources Statistics
Chair: Hon. Demetrio L. Ignacio
· Statistical Characterization of the Southern Oscillation Index: Is There a Seasonality in the El Niño Phenomenon?
by Erniel B. Barrios
Discussant: Dr. Lisa Grace S. Bersales
· Accumulation of Mercury and Other Heavy Metals In Some Edible Marine Mollusks in Sibutad, Zamboanga del Norte
by Georgina Lacastesantos-Fernandez
Discussant: Mr. Christopher N. Fernandez
· Data Based Econometric Model Building for the Household Consumption of Non-Marketed Fuelwood
by Alma S. Bello
Discussant: Ms. Irma C. Exconde
October 5, 2004 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Batanes
Session 3B: Education Statistics
Chair: Hon. Ramon C. Bacani
· Compliance With Quality Standard System in Maritime Schools: A Cost Effectiveness Analysis
by Luvismin Sy-Aves
Discussant: Dir. Romeo A. Isaac
· Measuring Technical Efficiency in Research of State Colleges and Universities in Region XI Using Data Envelopment Analysis
by Edgardo D. Cruz
Discussant: Ms. Angeles R. Buenaventura
· Basic Education Information System (BEIS)
by Lilia Z. Roces and Deogracias B. Genito, Jr.
Discussant: Dir. Maria Teresita Semana-Santiago
Palawan 2
Session 3C: Public Order, Safety and Justice Statistics
Chair: Dir. Myrna Medina
· Panel Data Estimation of Crime Rates in the Philippines
by Miguel F. Gillado and Tina Tan-Cruz
Discussant: Prof. Gennelyn Maria F. Sarte
· Crime Prevention Campaign and Leadership Styles of General Santos City Police Precinct Chiefs: Their Effects to Crime Rate, Crime Solution Efficiency and Community Support and Involvement
by Robert R. Kiunisala, Rufa C. Guiam and Epimaco A. Cabanlit, Jr.
Discussant: Comm. Miguel G. Coronel
· National Survey of Inmates: An Important Tool for the Action Program on Judicial Reform
by Josie B. Perez
Discussant: Dep. Court Admin. Jose P. Perez
October 5, 2004 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Palawan 1
Session 3D: Statistical Data Analysis
Chair: Dr. Lisa Grace S. Bersales
· A Procedure for Detecting SETAR-Nonlinearity
by Joselito C. Magadia
Discussant: Dr. Corrine Grace B. Burgos
· Bayesian Estimation of Mixture Models
by Cherry T. Nepomuceno
Discussant: Dr. Jose Ramon G. Albert
· Optimal Selection of Locations at Which to Measure Factors/ Covariates for a Spatial Point Process
by Jeffry J. Tejada
Discussant: Dr. Adolfo M. de Guzman
Mactan
Session 3E: Information and Communications Technology
Chair: Dr. Eliezer A. Albacea
· Empowering the People Thru Information: The Philippines’ First Provincial Statistics Information Center in Guimaras
by Joaquin Carlos Rahman A. Nava, Romulo A. Virola, Presentacion P. Penpillo, Candido J. Astrologo,Jr. and Chita S. Marzan
Discussant: Dr. Eliezer A. Albacea
· Web-Enabled Database as Tools for Disseminating Statistics
by Candido J. Astrologo, Jr.
Discussant: Dr. Eliezer A. Albacea
October 5, 2004 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Palawan 3
Session 3F: Price Statistics
Chair: Asst. Gov. Diwa C. Guinigundo