SCIENTIFIC PROGRAM
Isla Ballroom
Session PS-1: Good Governance and Climate Change
Chair/Discussant: Solita C. Monsod
- Good Statistics, Good Governance
by Ma. Lourdes C. Mangahas
- Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change
by Jose Ma. Clemente S. Salceda
Isla Ballroom
Session PS-2: Education and Social Security
Chair/Discussant: Mercedes B. Suleik
- Private Costs and Benefits of Adding Two Years to the Philippine Basic Education System
by Roberto de Vera and Jennifer Aimee Tan
- GSIS: Trends, Reforms and Future Directions
by Maria Fe S. Dayco
Boracay
Session IPS-1: Recent Developments in Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
Chair: Erlinda M. Capones
- Philippine Fourth Progress Report on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
by Celia M. Reyes
- Hunger Incidence in the Philippines: Facts, Determinants and Challenges
by Dennis S. Mapa, Fatima Dong Sun C. Han, and Kristine Claire O. Estrada
- Updated Status and Trends in Maternal Mortality
by Josefina V. Cabigon
Discussants: Ma. Bernardita T. Flores
Yolanda E. Oliveros
Palawan 1
Session IPS-2: Applications of the Input-Output Analysis for Development Planning
Chair: Victoria V. Quimbo
- Measurement of Inter-Regional Differentials and Dependencies in the Philippine Economy Based on a Multi-Region’s Inter-Regional Input-Output Table
by Kwangmoon Kim, Francisco Secretario, Hidefumi Kaneko
- Input-Output Multiplier Analysis for Major Industries in the Philippines
by Madeline B. Dumaua
- Enhancement of Development Planning by Utilizing Input-Output Table
by Manabu Fujikawa
Palawan 2
Session IPS-3: Measuring Economic Progress
Chair: Josef T. Yap
- The Economic Transition and Growth of Philippine Regions
by Monica Flerida B. Sandoval and Dennis S. Mapa
Discussant: Joseph Capuno
- Features of the Preliminary 2000 Rebased-Revised Philippine System of National Accounts
by Romulo A. Virola, Raymundo J. Talento, Vivian R. Ilarina, Mark Rex S. Romaraog
Discussant: Jesus C. Dumagan
- A Study on the Impact of Election Spending on the Philippine Economy
by Richard Emerson D. Ballester, Michael V. Bartolazo, Melanie A. Calumpang, Bien A. Ganapin and Sheryll P. Namingit
Discussant: Josef T. Yap
Palawan 3
Session IPS-4: Meeting the Challenges in Civil Registration Statistics
Session Sponsor: National Statistics Office
Chair: Carmelita N. Ericta
- Civil Registration and Vital Statistics Assessment: Philippines
by Lourdes J. Hufana
Discussant: Juan M. Lopez
Discussant: Wilma A. Perante
Batanes 1
Session IPS-5: Retooling the Education Statistics
Session Sponsor: United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)
Chair: Jesus Lorenzo R. Mateo
- The Best and Worst Performing Schools in the Philippine Licensure Examinations at the Start of the Third Millennium (2006-2007)
by Romulo A. Virola, Marymell M. Martillan, Gerald Junne L. Clariño, and Albert A. Garcia
Discussant: William O. Malitao
- A Test Analysis Report of the DT English Year 1 Using the Rasch Model
by Armi S. Lantano
Discussant: Ma. Cynthia A. Alcantara
Batanes 2
Session IPS-6: Econometric Modelling and Applications
Session Chair: Jade Eric T. Redoblado
- Macroeconomic Model for Policy Analysis and Insight
(A DSGE Model for the BSP)
by Paul M. McNelis, Francisco G. Dakila, Jr., Eloisa T. Glindro, and Ferdinand S. Co
Discussant: Ana Maria L. Tabunda
- Estimating Inflation-at-Risk Using Extreme Value Theory
by Edward P. Santos, Dennis S. Mapa, and Eloisa T. Glindro
Discussant: Jackson L. Ubias
- High Dimensional Nonparametric Discrete Choice Model
by Maureen Dina Giron and Erniel B. Barrios
Discussant: Mia Pang-Rey
Bohol
Session IPS-7: Science and Technology Statistics
Session Sponsor: Department of Science and Technology (DOST)
Chair: Fortunato T. de la Peña
- Performance of Philippine High Schools With Special Science Curriculum In The 2008 Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMMS-Advanced)
by Ester Ogena, Ruby D. Laña, and Randolf S. Sasota
Discussant: Bernie Justimbaste
- Ongoing Initiatives on Innovation Studies: Innovation Survey
by Fortunato T. de la Peña
Lubang, Mactan 1 and Mactan 2
Faculty-Student Conference (organized by the UP School of Statistics in collaboration with the UP Institute of Statistics and the Statistical Research and Training Center)
Sponsors:
Office of the President, University of the Philippines
Office of the Chancellor, University of the Philippines Diliman
UP Statistical Center Research Foundation, Inc. (UPSCRFI)
Boracay
Session IPS-8: Measuring Poverty
Chair: Celia M. Reyes
- The Pinoy Middle-Income Class is Shrinking: Its Impact on Income and Expenditure Patterns
by Romulo A. Virola, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Bernadette B. Balamban, Mildred B. Addawe, Mechelle M. Viernes, and Mark C. Pascasio
- Investments in Education and Health on Poverty Alleviation: Evidence Among Filipino Households
by Erniel B. Barrios
Discussant: Jose Ramon G. Albert
Palawan 1
Session IPS-9: Developments in Demographic Statistics
Chair: Mercedes B. Concepcion
- The Growing Significance of Nonmarital Fertility in the Philippines
by M. Midea M. Kabamalan and John B. Casterline
- Obtaining Demographically Relevant Data Through Cell Phones: Lessons from a Pilot Study in Cebu
by Socorro Gultiano, Michelle Hindin, and Mitali Thakor
- Correlates of Non-Marriage in the Philippines
by Lindy B. Williams, Florio O. Arguillas, Jr., and Marie Joy B. Arguillas
Discussant: Aniceto C. Orbeta, Jr.
Palawan 2
Session PD-1: Panel Discussion with the Data Users
Moderator: Benjamin D. Turiano
Palawan 3
Session IPS-10: Current Issues on Health Statistics
Session Sponsor: United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)
Chair: Enrique A. Tayag
- Prevalence of Dengue Fever (DF) and Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF): A Description and Forecasting
by Junge B. Guillena, Edward Laurence Opena, and Mirasol L. Baguio
Discussant: Enrique A. Tayag
- From Devolution to Consolidation: Local Health Systems Arrangements and Maternal and Child Health Indicators in the Philippines
by Joseph Capuno and Marian Panganiban
Discussant: Eduardo S. Banzon
- Local Health Accounts: Understanding the Sources and Uses of Funds in Delivering Local Health Services in a Devolved Setting
by Rouselle Lavado, Leizel Lagrada, and Raquel Dolores Sabenano
Discussant: Eduardo S. Banzon
Batanes 1
Session CPS-1: Developments in Agricultural Statistics
Chair: Romeo S. Recide
- Determining the Seasonal Climate-Based Optimal Planting Dates for Rainfed Rice in Selected Locations in the Philippines
by Felino P. Lansigan
- Stability of Rice Genotypes Using Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (BLUP)
by Consorcia E. Reaño
Batanes 2
Session IPS-11: Time Series Analysis and Modelling
Chair: Lisa Grace S. Bersales
- Robust Estimation of Time Series Models with Volatility
by Erniel B. Barrios and Wendell Q. Campano
Discussant: Joselito C. Magadia
- Broiler and Swine Information and Early Warning System
by Nenita T. Yanson, Eleanore V. Ramos, Evelyn V. Valenzuela, Rio Fe G. del Valle, and Randy M. Arcangel
Discussant: Dennis S. Mapa
- Purchasing Manager’s Index
by Nick Fontanilla
Discussant: Teresita B. Deveza
Bohol
Session IPS-12: Statistical Concerns in Mindanao
Chair: Brigida A. Roscom
- Relative Efficiency of Seaports in Mindanao
by Mildred J. Padilla and Rec E. Eguia
- Leadership Scale of Barangay Legislators in Davao City: An Application of Structural Equation Model
by Mildred J. Padilla and Rec E. Eguia
- Workers' Nash Equilibrium Application of Game Theory in Business
by Adrian Tamayo, Evelyn Senajon, Reynald Japay, Salome Layasan, and Gaudencio Abellanosa
Lubang, Mactan 1 and Mactan 2
Faculty-Student Conference (organized by the UP School of Statistics in collaboration with the UP Institute of Statistics and the Statistical Research and Training Center)
Sponsors:
Office of the President, University of the Philippines
Office of the Chancellor, University of the Philippines Diliman
UP Statistical Center Research Foundation, Inc. (UPSCRFI)
Lecture and Tutorial Session - October 4, 2010 (Monday), 5:00 – 6:00
Boracay
PSA-UPSS Lecture: High Dimensional Data Analysis
by Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan
Palawan 2
Tutorial Session on Statistical Software: STATA
by Jose Ramon G. Albert
Boracay
Session IPS-13: Current Issues on Gender Statistics
Session Sponsor: United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)
Chair: Emmeline L. Verzosa
- Improving the Way We Measure the Increasing Contribution of Women in Nation-Building
by Romulo A. Virola, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Bernadette B. Balamban, Noel S. Nepomuceno, Rhea June S. Lara & Anna Jean G. Casañas
Discussant: Amaryllis Torres
- Baseline Study on Women Entrepreneur and Women Workers in the Micro-Enterprise
by Leila S. Africa
Discussants: Nellibeth Mercado, Armida Marquez, Ofelia Palayan
Palawan 1
Session IPS-14: Recent Approaches in Measuring Climate Change
Chair: Flaviana D. Hilario
- Localizing the Measurement of the Impact of Climate Change
by Romulo A. Virola, Edward Eugenio P. Lopez-Dee, Mark Rex S. Romaraog, and Leo Allan C. Halcon
- Rainfall Variability in the Philippines
by Laura David, Fernando Siringan, Tolentino Moya, and Flaviana Hilario
Discussant: Cesar Villanoy
Palawan 2
Session IPS-15: Recent Developments in Housing Statistics
Chair: Nelia R. Marquez
- Improved National Framework on Housing Needs and Housing Needs Estimation
by Mary Ann C. Magtulis, Nelia R. Marquez, Plenee Grace J. Castillo, and Eleanore V. Ramos
- Housing Demand, Preferences and Affordability Levels of Families in Metro Manila
by Eleanore V. Ramos, Nelia R. Marquez, Mary Ann C. Magtulis, and Plenee Grace J. Castillo
- Estimating Informal Settlers in the Philippines
by Jeanette E. Cruz
Palawan 3
Session CPS-2: Some Measurement Issues of the Socio-Economy in the Philippines and ASEAN
Chair: Tomas P. Africa
- Volunteerism in the Philippines: Dead or Alive? On Measuring the Economic Contribution of Volunteer Work
by Romulo A. Virola, Vivian R. Ilarina, Christopher M. Reyes, and Corazon R. Buenaventura
- Disturbing Statistics: The Philippines Compared to Our ASEAN Neighbors
by Romulo A. Virola, Candido J. Astrologo, Jr., and Patricia Anne L. Rivera
Batanes 1
Session IPS-16: Small Area Estimation Methodologies
Chair: Zita V.J. Albacea
- Sub-National Estimates of the Percentage of Health Facility Deliveries in the Philippines
by Rosanno P. Dacanay
- Model-Based Sub-National Estimates of Currently Married Women Contraceptive Prevalence Rate for Modern Methods
by Avigail B. Cosico
- Indirect Sub-National Estimates of Neonatal Mortality
by Rose Imee Zhella A. Morantte
Discussant: Arturo Y. Pacificador, Jr.
Batanes 2
Session CPS-3: Computational Statistics
Chair: Erniel B. Barrios
- Backfitting Estimation of a Response Surface Model
by Jhoanne Marsh C. Gatpatan and Erniel Barrios
- Estimation of Dynamic Panel Data Models for Expenditure Items
by Lorelie d.A. Santos, Erniel B. Barrios, and Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan
- Nonparametric Transfer Function Models with Localized Temporal Effects
by John Carlo P. Daquis and Erniel B. Barrios
Lubang
Session CPS-4: Statistical Theory
Chair: Carolina B. Baguio
- Optimum Sample Size for KDE: An Application of Sequential Procedure
by Diana Jane N. Macalong and Brigida A. Roscom
- On the Efficiency of Spline Regression for Time Series Data
by Rex L. Sarvida and Carolina B. Baguio
- Some Asymptotic Properties of a Sequential Interval Estimation of Functions of the Exponential Scale Parameter
by Catherine R. Caño and Daisy Lou L. Polestico
Mactan 1
Session IPS-17: Statistical Developments in Luzon
Chair: Lorelei Mendoza
- The Economic Value of Mt. Pulag: An Eco-Tourism Perspective
by Gladys M. Navarro and Eleanor D. Paca
- The Social and Economic Dimensions of Rural Poverty in the Province of Masbate
by Bernadette G. Gumba
Discussant: Rizavel Addawe
Boracay
Session IPS-18: New Approaches in Data Mining/Business Intelligence
Chair: Erniel B. Barrios
- Nonparametric Model-Based Predictive Estimation in Data Mining
by April Anne H. Kwong and Erniel B. Barrios
- Forecasting Customer Lifetime Value
by Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan and Erniel B. Barrios
- Identifying Influencers of Consumer Activity
by Angela D. Nalica, Erniel B. Barrios, and Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan
Discussants: Jeffrey Tejada, Genalyn Ma. F. Sarte
Palawan 1
Session IPS-19: Developments in Information and Communications Technology
Session Sponsor: Accelerated Data Program - A Satellite Program of the PARIS21 Secretariat at Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
Chair: Maura S. Lizarondo
- The Role of Documentation in a Culture of Excellence in Philippine Statistics
by Gaye Parcon, Vincent Olaivar, Taciana Valdellon, Edith Rivera, Rosario Fajardo, Fe Vida Dy-Liacco, and Marie Ann Cagas
- National Statistics on ICT, Shipping Industry and the Maritime Profession: Its Applications in Business and Industry and Philippine Society
by Adriano A. Arcelo
- Lessons Learned in the Use of DevInfo in the Philippines
by Augusto Rodriguez
Discussant: Gervacio G. Selda, Jr.
Palawan 2
Session PD-2: Panel Discussion on the Philippine Population Projections
Session Organizer: National Academy of Science and Technology (NAST)
Session Sponsor: National Academy of Science and Technology (NAST)
Moderator: Mercedes B. Concepcion
Panelists:
Grace Cruz Jose Ramon G. Albert
Dalisay S. Maligalig Gelia Castillo
Dennis S. Mapa Roberto de Vera
Jose B. Sandejas, Jr. Lina V. Castro
Socorro Abejo
Palawan 3
Session CPS-5: Developments for Economic Progress
Session Sponsor: Partnership in Environmental Management for the Seas of East Asia (PEMSEA)
Chair: Dante B. Canlas
- Has Economic Growth in the Philippines Been Pro-Poor?
by Romulo A. Virola, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Bernadette B. Balamban, and Rhea June S. Lara
- Towards a Satellite Account in the Maritime Sector in the Philippine System of National Accounts: Preliminary Estimates
by Romulo A. Virola, Raymundo J. Talento, Edward P. Lopez-Dee, Mark Rex S. Romaraog and Florande S.Polistico
- Price Dynamics and Infrastructure Developments: The Case of Tilapia and Roundscad Markets in the Philippines
by Maria Esperanza T. Garcia, Flordeliza A. Lantican, and Yolanda T. Garci
Batanes 1
Session IPS-20: Enhancing the Measurement on Tourism Statistics
Session Sponsor: Department of Tourism (DOT)
Chair: Rolando Cañizal
- Modelling International Tourism Demand: Case of Philippines
by Ma. Cherry Lyn S. Rodolfo and Veronica Domingo
- 2009 Survey on Tourism Establishments in the Philippines: Its Rationale and Methodology
by Estela de Guzman and Elsie Solidum
Discussant: Miguela M. Mena
Batanes 2
Session CPS-6: Financial Risk Management
Chair: Joel Yu
- GARCH vs. SV in Forecasting Asset Volatility: Do We Need Another Volatility Model?
by Dennis S. Mapa, Mazhiel H. Mercader, and Kristine Joy P. Tolentino
- Volatility Spillover Analysis using VAR-Asymmetric MGARCH Models
by Ma. Sofia Criselda A. Poblador, Kriz Josette M. Abergas, and Dennis S. Mapa
- Estimating Value-at Risk (VaR) using TiVEx-POT Models
by Peter Julian A. Cayton, Dennis S. Mapa, and Mary Therese A. Lising
Lubang
Session CPS-7: Challenges in Environment and Natural Resources Statistics
Chair: Demetrio L. Ignacio
- Direct Use Value of Environmental Damages Due to Oil Spill in the Coastal Areas: The Cases of Semirara and Guimaras Islands, Philippines
by Joy C. Lizada
- The Impact of Climate Change on the Philippine Fisheries: A Moving Direction Towards Full Access to Open Market Agenda?
by Annalyn C. Daw-as, Eleanor D. Paca,and Gladys M. Navarro
Mactan 1
Session IPS-21: Measuring Good Governance
Session Sponsor: Commission on Elections
Chair: Ma. Oliva Z. Domingo
- Blind Justice: A Case for Judiciary Impartiality in the Philippine Supreme Court
by Arianne T. Ferrer and Janica C. Magat
- Was Good Governance the Real Loser in the 2010 Elections?
by Romulo A. Virola, Severa B. de Costo, Noel S. Nepomuceno, Mai Lin C. Villaruel, Gerald Junne L. Clariño,and Priscille C. Villanueva
Mactan 2
Session IPS-22: Developments in Survey Design
Chair: Arturo Y. Pacificador, Jr.
- Modeling the Factors that Influenced the Outcome of Interview of the July 2006 Labor Force Survey in the National Capital Region: A Logistic Regression Approach
by Maribel L. Bernardo
Discussant: Emma Fabian
- Enhanced Sampling Frame Mangement System
by Reynaldo Q. Vallesteros, Jr. and Charlene A. Dacumos
Discussant: Rechel Arcilla
- Evaluating Weight-Reallocated Survey Estimators
by Arturo M. Martinez, Jr. and Mai Lin C. Villaruel
Discussant: Arturo Y. Pacificador, Jr.
Boracay
Session IPS-23: Measuring Progress of Society
Chair: Estrella V. Domingo
- Measuring Progress of Philippine Society: What Makes the Poor Happy?
By Romulo A. Virola, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Mark C. Pascasio, and Raul A. Clavido
- Measuring the Happiness of the Faculty of University of the Philippines Los Banos Using a Statistical Index
By Zita V.J. Albacea
- Getting Old Before Getting Rich: The Economic State of the Elderly in the Philippines
By Dennis S. Mapa, Manilyn L. Davila, and Manuel Leonard F. Albis
Discussants: Dalisay S. Maligalig, Nelia R. Marquez
Palawan 1
Session IPS-24: Current Issues on Banking and Finance Statistics
Chair: Ma. Cyd N. Tuaño-Amador
- Does the Bank Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Matter in the Philippines?
by Veronica B. Bayangos
- Identifying and Measuring Asset Price Bubbles in the Philippines
by Eloisa T. Glindro, Vic K. Delloro
Discussant: Dante B. Canlas
Palawan 2
Session PD-3: Panel Discussion on Civil Registration
Session Organizer: National Statistics Office
Moderator: Olivia Gulla
Panelists: Carmelita N. Ericta
Lourdes J. Hufana
Department of Foreign Affairs
Shoe Mart
Palawan 3
Session IPS-25: Statistics on Labor, Employment and the MDGs
Session Sponsor: International Labour Organization (Country Office-Manila, Policy Integration) and the Royal Norwegian Government
Chair: Michael M. Alba
- What Do Recent Employment Statistics Tell Us?
by Emmanuel Esguerra
Discussant: Rebecca J. Calzado
- The New MDG Employment Indicators
by Lawrence Jeff Johnson
Batanes 1
Session IPS-26: Focusing on Human/Child Development Indicators
Session Sponsor: United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)
Chair: Wilfredo G. Nuqui
- Selected Challenges and Trends in Formulating Human Development Indices
by Wilfredo G. Nuqui
- Presentation of the NSCB-UNICEF’s Global Study on Child Poverty and Disparities - The Case of the Philippines: Excerpts from the Statistical Annex and On-line Database
by Lina V. Castro, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, & Bernadette B. Balamban
- Shouldn't Human Development Focus on Child Development?
by Romulo A. Virola, Augusto S. Rodriguez, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, & Mechelle M. Viernes
Batanes 2
Session CPS-8: Time Series Analysis
Chair: Lisa Grace S. Bersales
- Nonparametric Decomposition of Time Series Data with Inputs
by Edward P. Santos and Erniel B. Barrios
- Seasonal Adjustment Under Seasonal Volatilities
by Lisa Grace S. Bersales
- Spatial-Temporal Dimensions of Efficiency Among Electric Cooperatives in the Philippines
by Rouselle F. Lavado, Erniel B. Barrios, and Gabriel Angelo B. Domingo
- Application of Quantile Regression in the Analysis of Business Expectation Surveys
by Teresita B. Deveza
Lubang
Session CPS-9: Demographic and Health Statistics
Chair: Paula Monina G. Collado
- Is Income Growth Enough to Reduce Fertility Rate in the Philippines? Empirical Evidence from Regional Panel Data
by Dennis S. Mapa, Michael Daniel C. Lucagbo, and Czarina Lei S. Ignacio
- Regional Divides in the Correlates of Fertility: An Analysis of the 2008 NDHS?
by Roselle Collado
Mactan 1
Session IPS-27: Security Sector Statistics
Chair: Peter Paul G. Galvez
- Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey: 2005-2007
by Myrna DP. Medina
- Modern Soldiery Interrogated: Cataloguing the Local Military's Tasks and Their Perception of Local Civilian Actors
by Rosalie Arcala-Hall
Discussants: Rostum J. Bautista, Christine M. Cariño, Ananda Devi Almase
Mactan 2
Session IPS-28: Multi-Sectoral Statistics in Visayas
Chair: Vicente Balinas
- Men and Family Planning in Western Visayas
by Cristabel Rose F. Parcon
- Statistics in Governance: The Guimaras Community-Based Rural Tourism Program
by Jimmy S. Baban
- Seagrass Diversity in the Western and Eastern Sites of Igang Bay, Guimaras
by Rolando Alimen, Cornelio M. Selorio, Homervergel Ong, Renie A. Batuigas, Vicente Corpes, and Cicero Ortizo
Discussants: Fely P. David, Sweet Rose Leonares
|