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Papers by Session

The following papers were presented during the 10th National Convention on Statistics (NCS). Click a title to view the full text of a paper in your browser or right-click on a title and select "Save Target As..." to save a copy in your disk.

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Plenary Sessions

Session PS-1 Measuring Progress of Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
    Chair: Romulo A. Virola

• Charting Progress Towards the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
  by Francesca Perucci

• The Philippine Millennium Development Goals: Where Are We Now?
  by Erlinda M. Capones

Session PS-2 Gender and Governance Statistics
    Chair: Purificacion V. Quisumbing
    Discussant: Ma. Lourdes C. Fernando

• Governance Statistics: Did Performance Matter In The 2007 Elections?
  by Romulo A. Virola, Severa B. de Costo, Noel S. Nepomuceno , Kristine Faith S. Agtarap, Ma. Ivy T. Querubin and Mai Lin C. Villaruel

• Removing the Cloak of Invisibility: Integrating Unpaid Household Services in the Nation's Economic Accounts
  by Solita Collas-Monsod

Invited Paper Sessions

Session IPS-1 Current Issues on Poverty
    Session Sponsor: Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD)
    Chair: Celia M. Reyes
    Discussant: Arsenio M. Balisacan

• Measuring the Prevalence of Hunger in the Philippines Directly from Food Consumption Data
  by Rechel G. Arcilla, Zita V. Albacea and Isidoro P. David

• Meeting the Challenge for Official Statistics on Hunger in the Philippines
  by Romulo A. Virola and Lina V. Castro

• Asessing Poverty Lines by Revealed Preference
  by Lina V. Castro, Mildred B. Addawe and
  Kristine Faith S. Agtarap

  Session IPS-2 Emerging Business Statistics
    Chair: Margarita R. Songco
    Discussants: Dante B. Canlas, Preceles H. Manzo, Emma V. Teodoro

• The Characteristics of Selected Micro-Entrepreneurial Ventures: A Vital Tool Towards Success
  by Lorraine B. Ngaosi and Gladys M. Navarro

• Exploring Complementarity Between Secondary and Primary Database for Measuring Interregional Commodity Flows Across the Philippines
  by Cristela G. Dakila and Shoshi Mizokami

• An Input-Output Analysis of the Philippine BPO Industry
  by Nedelyn M. Ramos, Gemma Estrada and Jesus Felipe

Session IPS-3 Statistical Modelling of Financial Series
    Chair: Lisa Grace S. Bersales
    Discussant: Joselito C. Magadia

• Conditional Correlation of Some East Asian Stock Market Returns
  by Gregorio A. Vargas III and Dennis S. Mapa

• Forecasting Inflation Rate in the Philippines: Linear vs Markov-Switching Model
  by Joel C. Yu

• Range-Based Models in Estimating Value-at-Risk
  by Nikkin L. Beronilla and Dennis S. Mapa

Session IPS-4 Innovations in Science and Technology Statistics
    Session Sponsor: Department of Science and Technology (DOST)
    Chair: Fortunato T. de la Peña
    Discussant: George Sy

• Innovation Systems - Opportunities, Readiness, Assessment and Measurement
  by Stephen W. Braim

  Session IPS-5 Statistical Theory
    Chair: Erniel B. Barrios
    Discussants: Genelyn Ma. F. Sarte, Joselito C. Magadia

• A Bootstrap Procedure in a Spatial-Temporal Model for Corn Production Data
  by Charlotte F. Dumanjug

• A Nonparametric Approach to Testing Constant Temporal Effect Across Locations in a Spatial-Temporal Model
  by Jacqueline M. Guarte

• Generalized Method of Moments Estimation on a Linear Panel Data Model of Clinical Trial
  by Aristotle B. Magallanes

Session IPS-6 Re-tooling the Quality of Education
    Chair: Romeo A. Isaac

• Tracer Survey of Agriculture Graduates
  by Nelita M. Lalican

• The Personal Entrepreneurial Competencies of BS Entrepreneurship Students of the Cordillera Administrative Region and Practicing Entrepreneurs of Baguio, Dagupan and San Fernando, La Union: A Comparison
  by Reynaldo S. Bautista, Maria Joan Pablo-Barlis and Asuncion G. Nazario

• The Effectiveness of Data Provision Through Quality Management System: Retooling for the Institutional Monitoring and Evaluation for Quality Assurance in Higher Education (IQUAME)
  by Luvismin Sy-Aves

Session IPS-7 Statistics at Work in Luzon
    Chair: Marcial P. Estolano
    Discussant: Marilou G. Abon

• Parametric and Nonparametric Survival Analysis of Myocardial Infarction Patients Admitted in Dr. Paulino J. Garcia Memorial Research and Medical Center in Cabanatuan City
  by Ma. Cristina V. Mingala and Marcial P. Estolano

• Poverty Profiling in Ilocos Norte: Methods Based on Livelihood System Approach
  by Criselda M. Balisacan, Evangeline S. Galacgac and Marie Rose C. Aceret

• Legazpi City Barangay Socio-Economic Survey
  by Joseph B. Esplana

Session IPS-8 Econometrics and Applications
    Chair: Cayetano W. Paderanga, Jr.

• Econometric Applications of Sparse Principal Component Regression
  by Erniel B. Barrios and Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan

• Convergence in Land Values
  by Joseph Capuno

Session IPS-9 Current Issues on Banking, Finance and Price Statistics
    Chair: Diwa C. Guinigundo
    Discussants: Josef T. Yap, Rosemarie G. Edillion

• Identifying the Determinants of OFW Remittances: Which Exchange Rate Measure is Most Relevant?
  by Francisco G. Dakila, Jr. and Racquel A. Claveria

• Financial Reporting Package: Enhancing Banking Statistics
  by Lyn I. Javier and Jermy Y. Prenio

• Estimation of Standard Errors for Price Changes of Commodities in the Philippine Consumer Price Index (January 2005 - December 2005)
  by Dulce Joy D. Zozobrado-Sorino

Session IPS-10 Time Series Analysis: Seasonal Adjustment and Forecasting
    Chair: Lisa Grace S. Bersales
    Discussant: Dennis S. Mapa

• Seasonal Analysis of Selected Philippine Time Series
  by Jade Eric T. Redoblado

• Current Methodologies and Results of Seasonally Adjusting the Selected Philippine Time Series
  by TWG on Seasonal Adjustment of Philippine Time Series (chaired by Lisa Grace S. Bersales)

• Forecasting from an Additive Model in the Presence of Multicollinearity
  by Erniel B. Barrios and Gregorio A. Vargas III

Session IPS-11 Challenges in Tourism Statistics
    Session Sponsor: Department of Tourism (DOT)
    Chair: Rolando Cañizal
    Discussants: Karina Rosa S. Tiopes, Raymundo J. Talento, Ronaldo P. Tiotuico,
                         Evelyn B. Pantig, Martin S. Valera, Evangeline Ortiz

• Developing the Survey Instruments for the Household Survey on Domestic Visitors
  by Emma A. Fabian and Milagros Y. Say

• Understanding the Domestic Visiting Friends and/or Relatives (VFR) Travel Market in the Philippines
  by Miguela M. Mena

• Sustainability of Tourism: Issues in Statistics
  by Ma. Cherry Lyn S. Rodolfo

Session IPS-12 Developments in Statistical Quality Control
    Chair: Francisco N. de los Reyes
    Discussants: Charlie S. Labina, Josefina V. Almeda

• Control Chart Methodology Change for Certain Variable Characteristics in Amkor Technology Philippines
  by Ma. Sarah O. Bodino and Eloisa Reyes

• Hybrid Regression: A New Quality Control/Process Control Tool
  by Jose H. Felizco, Jr.

 Session IPS-13 Use of Statistics in Environmental Concerns in Visayas
    Chair: Sonia P. Formacion
    Discussant: Cherry T. Nepomuceno

• Stochastic Process Applied to Catbalogan Water Supply Resource Planning
  by Felisa E. Gomba, Ronald L. Orale and Ralph S. Uy

• Indirect Use Values of Oil-Spill Affected Mangroves in Guimaras Island
  by Gay D. Defiesta

• Linear Programming for Bay Systems in Western Visayas
  by Edwin V. Lerio

 Session IPS-14 Generation of Local Level Poverty Statistics
    Chair: Celia M. Reyes
    Discussant: Manuel Q. Gotis

• Responding to the Needs for Decentralized Planning: Small Area Poverty Estimates
  by Joseph M. Addawe, Arturo M. Martinez, Jr. and Raymond S. Perez

• Design-Based and Model-Based Estimation of Poverty Measures at the Provincial Level in the Philippines
  by Raymund G. Perez and Zita V.J. Albacea

 Session IPS-15 Survey Design
    Chair: Isidoro P. David
    Discussant: Dalisay S. Maligalig

• The Development of a Master Sample for Bhutan
  by Dalisay S. Maligalig, Khandu Dorji, Melissa C. Pascua, Nima Deki Sherpa, Peden, and Dorji Wangdi

• Estimation Procedure for the Quarterly Survey of Philippine Business and Industry
  by Gloria A. Cubinar and Erniel B. Barrios

• The Propensity Score Matching for Correcting Sample Selection Bias
  by Emeterio S. Solivas, Girly M. Ramirez and Allan N. Manalo

 Session IPS-16 Statistical Computing Techniques and Procedures
    Chair: Zita V.J. Albacea
    Discussant: Jaime M. Samaniego

• Recognition of the Tagalog Alphabet Using the Hidden Markov Model
  by Rolando D. Navarro, Jr.

• A Genetic Algorithm for Constrained Statistical Matching
  by Eliezer A. Albacea and Giovanni A. Flores

 Session IPS-17 Trends in Building Capacities on Statistics
    Chair: Gervacio G. Selda, Jr.
    Discussant: Tomas P. Africa

• Academic Programs in Statistics in the Philippines
  by Lisa Grace S. Bersales

• Ensuring the 'Fitness to Use' of Administrative-Based Statistics at the Department of Labor and Employment
  by Editha B. Rivera

 Session IPS-18 Addressing Concerns on Health and Nutrition Statistics
    Chair: Jaime Z. Galvez-Tan
    Discussants: Cecilia A. Florencio, Rodolfo F. Florentino

• Validation of Food Insecurity Response vis-à-vis Nutritional Status and Adequacy of food Intake from the 6th NNS
  by Allan A. Gulles, Wilma L. Molano and Ma. Erlinda R. Tarrayo

• Vitamin A and Iron Intake Among Pre School-Age With and Without Fortification of Processed Foods and Fortified Staples
  by Ma. Regina A. Pedro, Cristina J. Garcia, Wilma L. Molano, Allan A. Gulles and Jeffrey Y. De Leon

• Prevalence of Malnutrition Using the WHO Multicentre Growth Reference Study and International Reference Standards: Issues and Implications
  by Wilma L. Molano, Allan A. Gulles and Jeffrey Y. De Leon

 Session IPS-19 Statistical Approaches in Mindanao
    Chair: Brigida A. Roscom
    Discussants: Joselito C. Magadia, Edmundo B. Prantilla

• Sequential Confidence Intervals for the Exponential Hazard Rate
  by Junvie M. Pailden and Daisy Lou L. Polestico

• Sequential Estimation of Functions of the Exponential Scale Parameter
  by Daisy Lou L. Polestico

• The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks to the Philippine Economy: A Vector Autoregressive Approach
  by Edgardo D. Cruz and Alain Ralph I. Cortes

 Session IPS-20 Current Issues on Environment and Natural Resources Statistics
    Chair: Demetrio L. Ignacio
    Discussants:Damasa Macandog, Gregorio E. Santos, Jr.

• Determining Risk-Efficient Tree-Crop Planting Strategies Using Stochastic Dominance Analysis
  by Faith T. Evangelista and Felino P. Lansigan

• Assessing the Effect of Climate Change on Rice and Corn Yields in Selected Provinces in the Philippines
  by Felino P. Lansigan and Arnold R. Salvacion

• Abandoned Biomass Resource Statistics in the Philippines
  by Santiago R. Baconguis

 Session IPS-21 Improving Gender Statistics
    Chair: Emmeline L. Verzosa
    Discussants: Alicia Bala, Carol Ruiz-Austria, Jeanne Frances I. Illo

• Documenting Cases of Violence Against Women, Particularly Trafficking and Prostitution
  by Jean Enriquez

• The Experience of the Philippine Judiciary in the Generation and Gathering of Sex-Disaggregated Data
  by Edna E. Diño

• Do Women Contribute Less Than Men to Nation Building?
  by Romulo A. Virola, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Armyl G. Zaguirre and Raymond S. Perez

 Session IPS-22 Statistics on Decent Work
    Chair: Ma. Criselda R. Sy
    Discussant: Linda Wirth

• Decent Work Status Report: The Philippines
  by Cynthia R. Cruz, Ma. Luisa Gigette S. Imperial, Jeanette D. Tana, Katherine B. Brimon, Ahmma Charisma Lobrin-Satumba, Dennis Joseph M. Cabato, Mary Grace L. Riguer and Stephanie B. Tabladillo

• How to Believe in Philippine Decent Work Statistics: Focus on Freedom of Association and Collective Bargaining
  by Maragtas S.V. Amante

• Measuring the Informal Sector in the Philippines and the Trends in Asia
  by Jorge V. Sibal

• A Shift-Share Analysis on Regional Employment Growth in Philippines
  by Rosendo M. Aya-ay and Edmundo B. Prantilla

 Session IPS-23 Statistical Models for Data Analysis
    Chair: Lisa Grace S. Bersales
    Discussants: Charlie S. Labina, Dennis S. Mapa

• Convergence of Growth in Rice Production in the Philippines
  by Erniel B. Barrios and Angela D. Nalica

• A Methodology in Predicting the Influence of Climatic Variables on Crop Yield
  by Herminia C. Tanguilig

 Session IPS-24 Measuring Agricultural Production
    Session Sponsor: Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS)
    Chair: Romeo S. Recide

• Co-movement Between ENSO and Agricultural Production in Asia
  by Lisa Grace S. Bersales and Erniel B. Barrios

• Comparative Economic Study of Organic & Conventional Rice Farming in Magsaysay, Davao del Sur
  by Purisima G. Bayacag, Ronajoy Rubinos and Ana Theresa Jalipa

• Developing a Knowledge-based Crop Forecasting System in the Philippines
  by Felino P. Lansigan, Arnold R. Salvacion, Eduardo P. Paningbatan, Jr., Emeterio S. Solivas and Edna Luisa A. Matienzo

 Session IPS-25 Measurement Issues in Health Statistics
    Session Sponsor: Philippine Health Insurance Corporation (PHIC)
    Chair: Jaime Z. Galvez-Tan
    Discussant: Maria Rosario Clarissa S. Vergerie

• Correlation between Maternal and Child Health Services and Mortality
  by Faye Y. Bautista and Marymell A. Martillan

• Philippine National Health Accounts: Estimating Individual Person Health Expenditures from Household Level Data
  by Rachel H. Racelis, John Michael Ian S. Salas, Fe Vida N. Dy-Liacco and Racquel Dolores V. Sabeñano

• Indirect Estimates of Maternal Mortality: Philippines, 2006
  by Benedicta A. Yabut and Faye Y. Bautista

 Session IPS-26 Population and Development
    Chair: Mercedes B. Concepcion
    Discussant: Alejandro N. Herrin

• Active Life Expectancy among Filipino Older People
  by Grace T. Cruz

• Theoretical and Methodological Errors in the Use of Autoregression in the Prediction of Cumulative Fertility: Some Corrective Recommendations and Policy Implications
  by Lysander A. Padilla

• Population Development and Environment Factors Affecting Acute Respiratory Infection among Children in the Philippines: Evidence from the 2003 National Demographic Survey
  by Myrna Clara B. Asuncion

 Session IPS-27 Small Area Estimation Methodologies
    Chair: Eliezer A. Albacea
    Discussant: Ofelia M. Templo

• Barangay Level Estimation of the Proportion of Underweight Filipino Children Aged 0-5 Years
  by Rose Imee Zhella G. Amar and Zita V.J. Albacea

• Estimating the Proportion of Stunted 0-5 Year-Old Children at the Provincial Level in the Philippines
  by Elenita V. Castillo, Wilma L. Molano and Zita V.J. Albacea

• Modeling Municipality Food Poverty in the Philippines
  by Alaine DC Amon and Zita V.J. Albacea

 Session IPS-28 Measuring Economic Progress
    Session Sponsor: Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH)
    Chair: Estrella V. Domingo
    Discussants: Gonzalo M. Jurado, Solita C. Monsod

• Economic Interdependency between the Philippines and China: An Input-Output Analysis
  by Gloria A. Cubinar, Ma. Julieta P. Soliven and Estela T. De Guzman

• Understanding the Manufacturing Sector: The Philippine System of National Accounts (PSNA) and the Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI)
  by Romulo A. Virola, Raymundo J. Talento and Florande S. Polistico

• Measuring Progress of Philippine Society: Gross National Product or Gross National Happiness?
  by Romulo A. Virola and Jessamyn O. Encarnacion

Contributed Paper Sessions

Session CPS-1 Meeting the Challenges in Health Statistics
    Chair: Corazon R. Buenaventura

• Determining the Relationship between Physical Accessibility and Infant Mortality Rate (The Case of La Trinidad, Benguet)
  by Virginia L. Anceno

• Count Model Estimates of Health Care Demand in Davao City
  by Elizabeth M. Malonzo and Edmundo B. Prantilla

Session CPS-2 Challenges in Banking and Finance Statistics
    Chair: Iluminada T. Sicat

• Forensic Accounting: Hidden Balance of Payments of the Philippines
  by Edsel L. Beja, Jr.

• Economic Growth and External Debt Servicing of the Philippines: 1981-2005
  by Janice Abilene S. Patenio and Agustina Tan-Cruz

Session CPS-3 Women and Population Statistics
    Chair: Dolores de Quiros Castillo

• Estimating Variation In The Incidence Of Violence Against Women In Region XI
  by Jane C. Maratas and Agustina Tan-Cruz

• Gender Participation in Mangrove Rehabilitation Project Among Barangays in Samal Island, Davao Province, Region XI
  by Grace P. Moralde

• Beliefs and Practices of Muslim Women in Mindanao
  by Grace Edmar Elizar-del Prado

• Statistics on Filipinos' International Migration: Issues and Steps Towards Harmonizing the Data
  by Jeremaiah M. Opiniano

Session CPS-4 Advances in Statistical Quality Control
    Chair: Francisco N. de los Reyes

• Experimental Design Techniques in Research and Development
  by Jose H. Felizco, Jr.

• Optimum Compressive Strength of Foundry Sand Using Response Surface Methodology
  by Carolina B. Baguio and Pilar Paracha

• The Use of Wavelet-MLPCR in Quality Control and Process Control
  by Jose H. Felizco, Jr

Session CPS-5 Multi-Sectoral Statistical Concerns in Mindanao
    Chair: Brigida A. Roscom

• Technical Efficiency and Environmental-Technological Gaps in Rice Production in Mindanao Using a Metafrontier Analysis
  by Agustina-Tan Cruz and Heide P. Odchimar

• Financing the Millenium Development Goals at the Local Level: An Assessment of Local Government Units' (LGU) Expenditure for Basic Social Services
  by Richardson T. Cua

• Cost Efficiency Estimation of State Universities and Colleges in Region XI
  by Cheryl R. Ampit and Agustina Tan-Cruz

Session CPS-6 New Approaches in Environment and Natural Resources Statistics
    Chair: Eriberto G. Argete

• Economic Valuation of Ground Water in the Dumoy Aquifer
  by Carmelita P. Martinez and Edmundo B. Prantilla

• Household Asset Allocation Decisions: Its Economic Impact on Mangrove Forest Use and Management
  by Gladys M. Navarro and Jacques Viaene

Session CPS-7 New Developments in Tourism and Business Statistics
    Chair: Vivian R. Ilarina

• Measuring Health and Wellness Tourism in the Philippines
  by Romulo A. Virola and Florande S. Polistico

• Is Holiday Economics Good for the Tourism Sector? – The Philippine Case
  by Damaris L. Yarcia

• Entrepreneurial-Oriented Strategy Making Gestalts
  by Richel L. Lamadrid

• Strategic Orientation of Small Business Entrepreneurs in Baguio City
  by Roberto M. Arguelles and Reynaldo S. Bautista

Session CPS-8 Estimation Methodologies in Agriculture
    Chair: Romeo S. Recide

• Analysis of Measurement Errors in Corn Area Estimation in Isabela Province
  by Felino P. Lansigan and Joana G. Salazar

• Farmers' Adoption of Organic Rice Farming in Magsaysay, Davao del Sur: Factors and Practices
  by Agustina Tan-Cruz and Jece Rose G. Yamota

• Technical Efficiency of Philippine Rice-Producing Regions: An Econometric Approach
  by Niño T. Pate and Agustina Tan-Cruz

Session CPS-9 Statistical Concerns in Education
    Chair: Jesus Lorenzo R. Mateo

• Financing Public Higher Education in the Philippines: An Examination of the Applicability of Income Contingent Student Loan Scheme
  by Rio Compra - Yonson

• Multivariate Data Analyses: Multiple Regression Applied in Educational Research
  by Erlinda P. Villamoran

Session CPS-10 Application of Small Area Estimation Techniques in Nutrition
    Chair: Consorcia E. Reaño

• Estimating the Proportion of Households Not Meeting Energy Adequacy at the Provincial Level in the Philippines
  by Wilma L. Molano, Allan A. Gulles, Elenita V. Castillo, Karina Tricia V. Dorado and Zita V.J. Albacea

• Small Area Estimation of the Provincial Prevalence of Hypertension Among Adults in the Philippines
  by Charmaine A. Duante, Felicidad V. Velandria, Wilma L. Molano and Zita V.J. Albacea

• Small Area Estimation of the Provincial Prevalence of Underweight Among 6-10 Year-Old Children in the Philippines
  by Myrsa M. Belarmino, Wilma L. Molano and Zita V.J. Albacea

Session CPS-11 Various Topics: Energy, Governance and Market Research
    Session Sponsor: Department of Energy (DOE)
    Chair: Francisco K. Mallion

• Energy Demand Situation and Outlook in the Philippines: 2005-2014
  by Salvador M. Salire, Jr.

• Philippine Governance Indicator Survey Tools
  by Alex B. Brillantes, Jr. and Mila A. Reforma

• Towards a Low-Cost Market Research Approach
  by Benvenuto N. Icamina

Session CPS-12 Poverty and Its Correlates
    Chair: Nelia R. Marquez

• Trends and Characteristics of the Middle-Income Class in the Philippines: Is it Expanding or Shrinking?
  by Romulo A. Virola, Mildred B. Addawe and Ma. Ivy T. Querubin

• Finding Relationships between Poverty Mapping Indices and the Small Area Estimates Poverty Incidences
  by Aldrin Federico R. Bahit, Jr.

• Population and Poverty Nexus: Does Family Size Matter?
  by Romulo A. Virola and Arturo M. Martinez, Jr.

Session CPS-13 ICT Applications
    Session Sponsor: Solutions Insurance Brokers Incorporated
    Chair: Eliezer A. Albacea

• Test Checker and Item Analyzer with Statistics
  by Cesar B. Bermundo and Alex B. Bermundo

• Sub-national Determinants of the Digital Divide: The Case of the Philippines
  by Philip Arnold P. Tuaño

• Multi-Scale and Multi-Temporal Poverty Mapping in the Manila Observatory
  by May Celine T.M. Vicente, Charlotte Kendra G. Castillo, Leah P. Castro, Gerald A. Galgana, Ma. Aileen Leah G. Guzman, Joel D. de Mesa and Jose Ramon T. Villarin

Panel Discussions

Session PD-1 Panel Discussion on Election/Opinion Polls
    Chair: Paula Monina G. Collado
    Discussant: Filomeno S. Sta. Ana III

• Post-Election Analysis of Pre-Election Polls
  by Ana Maria L. Tabunda and Shiela A. Billones

Session PD-2 Panel Discussion on Subnational Statistics
    Session Sponsor: City Government of Marikina
    Chair: Isidoro P. David
    Panelist: Carmelita N. Ericta, Celia M. Reyes, Maria Rosario Clarissa S. Vergeire

• Statistical Issues and Concerns at the Subnational Level
  By Leonardo N. Quitos Jr., Nestor G. Rillon and Irenea B. Ubungen