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Headlines Statistically Speaking

For Being A Great Supporter Of Statistics, Salamat Po Pres. Cory!
by Dr. Romulo A. Virola 1
Secretary General, NSCB

After the death of Pres. Cory, it is amazing to notice the great outpouring of love and affection displayed by young Pinoys,  many of whom were not even born and  missed those great moments of our history when we defined People Power for all the world to witness and which was to serve as a model of peaceful revolution to be replicated in many other countries later. It is heartwarming to realize too that our young will remember Pres. Cory as the woman who courageously and selflessly led us in the restoration of our democracy. But I feel sad for some of us who were there and fought to get back our dignity, but did not give Pres. Cory the support she needed, nay,  made governance  very difficult for her, during her term as our reluctant President! If only we united and rallied around her then, and did not foolishly squander those golden opportunities the world offered us, we would have not have to deal with many of the social and economic problems we now face. We really should find time to reflect as a nation – despite the many good traits and strengths of the Pinoys, why haven’t we learned to translate  great challenges into golden opportunities?

Yes, our nation owes our former President Corazon C. Aquino a lot! A Whole lot! Surely, she had her faults, but the lucky among us have  vivid, fond memories of  Pres. Cory  which  I am sure we will remember and treasure forever.  We in the Philippine Statistical System (PSS)   have many good things to remember about her when she was the President during the period 1986-1992.  

On 18 November 1985, Prime Minister Cesar E. Virata issued Memorandum Order No. 85-9 directing the National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) to constitute a Special Committee to Review the PSS2 whose recommendations led to the reorganization of the PSS. Pres. Cory signed Executive Order No. 121, “Reorganizing and Strengthening the PSS and for Other Purposes” on January 30, 1987.  It was thus, Pres. Cory who created the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) and the Statistical Research and Training Center (SRTC), and renamed the National Census and Statistics Office to National Statistics Office (NSO).  One significant statistical development that came as a result of  EO 121, is the establishment of coordination structure and mechanisms unique to and which provide the PSS with a comparative advantage over other national statistical systems. Unfortunately, there have been efforts to reorganize the PSS anew and revert to a statistical infrastructure that removes the one  important feature recommended by the 1986 PSS review committee – the separation of statistical coordination from data production, which has made statistical coordination in the Philippines more successful than in other countries. The PSS and data users in general, should therefore be eternally grateful to Pres. Cory that in 1992, upon the recommendation of the Secretaries of Socio-Economic Planning, Agriculture and Labor, she vetoed wisely  a proposed bill that tried to  move the PSS many steps backward. Such moves have been resurrected lately and I hope they will suffer the same fate that Pres. Cory delivered on their earlier version.

It was also during the term of Pres. Cory that Presidential Proclamation No. 647, Declaring the Month of October of Every Year as the National Statistics Month (NSM), was issued on September 20, 1990.  Because of this proclamation by Pres. Cory,  statistical advocacy  prospered in the country and made statistics more widely appreciated by the public than in other countries.

Another milestone is the issuance of  Presidential Proclamation No. 652 on October 9, 1990 for the approval and adoption of the Philippine Statistical Development Program (PSDP) 1990-1992 and Perspectives 1993-1995.   It was the fourth PSDP but it was the first time a  Presidential Proclamation was issued on the PSDP. Pres. Cory, in fact, graciously  granted an audience to several members of the NSCB Executive Board to make a presentation  on the highlights of the PSDP prior to the signing of the proclamation.

In terms of operational  support to the PSS, let us examine the budget given to statistics by the four administrations from the time of Pres. Cory. In our statistical  budget process, the key steps are (1) the agencies submit proposals to the DBM; (2)  the DBM, with the assistance of NSCB, evaluates and submits its proposal to Congress; (3) Congress evaluates and submits the General Appropriations Act to the President; and (4) the President signs the GAA into law. In this article, we will assess  the support to statistics given by the DBM, by Congress and by the administration as a whole  thru the following indicators on the budget: (a) DBM-approved over PSS-proposed; (b) Congress-approved over DBM-proposed; and (c) GAA-approved over PSS-proposed and the share of the statistical budget to the  national government budget, respectively. Higher ratios or approval rates will be interpreted as better support for statistics. Due to data constraints, however, the statistical budget of the PSS is limited to those of the NSCB, NSO, Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS) of the Department of Agriculture, Bureau of Labor and Employment Statistics (BLES) of the Department of Labor and Employment, and the SRTC. A more thorough assessment would require including the statistical budgets of other government agencies, including the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), that conduct statistical activities and form part of the PSS. Many of these so-called non major statistical agencies have expanded their statistical activities in recent years, indicative of the rising appreciation for statistics in the country. It should also be noted that the indicator for assessing an administration is the result of the joint action of the Executive branch and of Congress.

Let us now see the numbers on the budgetary support to statistics as shown in Tables 1, 2, and 3! The metadata for these Tables are  provided in Annex 1.

A. How much support does  DBM give to statistics? (Col. 4 of Tables 2 & 3)

Excluding the censuses, the highest DBM approval rate was still during the Aquino administration at 95.5 percent, followed by 75.5 percent in the Estrada administration, 73.6 percent in the Arroyo  administration and 73.0  percent in the Ramos administration. 

B. How much support does  Congress give to statistics?  (Col. 6 of Tables 2 & 3)

Without the census budgets, Congressional  approval rates follow the same trend as that when census budgets are included, with the Ramos administration as the highest at 104.2 percent and the Aquino administration as the lowest at 94.0 percent.

C. How much support does each administration as a whole, give to statistics?
    (Col. 7 of Tables 2 & 3)

Without the census budgets, the Aquino administration had the highest approval rate of 89.8 percent, followed by the Estrada administration at 77.4 percent, the Ramos administration at 76.0 percent and the Arroyo administration at 74.7 percent.

Share of Statistical Budget to the National Government Budget
(Cols. 9-11 of Tables 2 & 3)

Definitely, Pres. Cory had been most supportive of statistics. And we need not wonder why. Pres. Cory took mathematics as her minor in college in the Unites States. 

We always say that we have to invest in statistics because information is power.  We need reliable, relevant, useful and timely statistical information towards  evidence-based decisions.  Without sound statistics, we will not be able to craft  proper and appropriate programs and policies in the government  as well as in the business sector to reduce poverty and to achieve our Millennium Development Goals. And we are grateful that recently, the DBM has recognized and addressed the dwindling manpower and financial resources provided for statistical activities. We just hope that support for statistics will continue in the coming years. From the private sector too!

Once again, as we bid Goodbye, Thank you for your great support to statistics, Pres. Cory!

 

Reactions and views are welcome thru email to the author at ra.virola@nscb.gov.ph.

________________

1 Secretary General of the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) and Chairman of the Statistical Research and Training Center (SRTC). He holds a Ph. D. in Statistics from the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, USA and has taught mathematics and statistics at the University of the Philippines. He is also a past president of the Philippine Statistical Association. This article is co-written by Cynthia S. Regalado, OIC-Director of the Policies, Programs and Standards Office, NSCB. It was inspired by a question texted to us before Pres. Arroyo delivered her State of the Nation Address last July 27, 2009 by Cai Ordinario of the Business Mirror on whether Pres. Arroyo was supportive of statistics. The authors thank Lina V. Castro, Noel S. Nepomuceno, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Candido J. Astrologo, Jr., Juan O. Miralles, Jayne A. Monteza, Patricia Anne L. Rivera, Millicent Gay B. Tejada, Lotis I. Ira, Norma P. Guevarra, Dolores M. Pillas, Ma. Libertie V. Masculino, Agnes V. Capule and Albert A. Garcia for the assistance in the preparation of the article. The views expressed in the article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the NSCB.

2 The output of the Review Committee was the “Report of the Special Committee to Review the Philippine Statistical System.” The Committee was Chaired by the eminent demographer, UN-awardee and academician Dr. Mercedes B. Concepcion with the following as Members: Mr. Luis R. Baltazar, Dr. Manuel F. Montes, Dr. Emmanuel T. Velasco and Dr. Burton T. Onate. Dr. Filologo Pante Jr. and Dr. Marcelo M. Orense were Ex-officio Members while Dr. Isidoro P. David, Dr. Mitsuo Ono, Mr. Wilfredo G. Nuqui, Mr. Prospero M. Castro and Mr. Elpidio D. Makanas served as Consultants.

 

Annex 08-10-2009-1

Statistical Budgets of the PSS Major Statistical Agencies

 

Table 1.
Proposed and Approved Budgets of Major Statistical Agencies
(with Census Budgets), 1988-2009
(in thousand pesos)

Year

Proposed Budget DBM-Approved Budget
(Based on NEP)
Congress-Approved Budget
(Based on GAA)
NSO NSCB BAS BLES SRTC Total NSO NSCB BAS BLES SRTC Total NSO NSCB BAS BLES SRTC Total
1988 197,074 30,380 59,880 3,144 8,567 299,045 175,356 27,369 66,969 3,868 6,163 279,725 151,174 17,818 59,880 3,144 8,567 240,583
1989 315,336 33,388 68,509 4,710 6,571 428,514 269,001 30,079 70,959 4,927 5,668 380,634 265,218 29,653 68,509 4,710 6,571 374,661
1990 1/ 626,622 39,211 64,744 5,620 3,602 739,799 609,729 35,325 72,812 5,620 3,602 727,088 609,729 35,325 64,744 5,620 3,602 719,020
1991 2/ 499,280 40,138 59,509 5,506 3,551 607,984 488,644 36,160 79,587 7,908 4,336 616,635 286,339 34,195 59,509 5,506 3,551 389,100
1992 509,829 40,665 75,689 8,483 4,205 638,871 501,984 36,635 75,689 8,483 4,205 626,996 501,984 36,635 75,689 8,483 4,205 626,996
1993 634,835 30,044 78,038 8,009 3,999 754,925 296,919 27,067 78,038 8,009 3,999 414,032 296,919 27,067 78,038 8,009 3,999 414,032
1994 461,396 50,587 130,771 17,966 5,552 666,272 347,154 45,574 85,858 16,645 8,880 504,111 302,321 31,763 130,771 17,966 5,552 488,373
1995 3/ 725,621 39,953 144,214 18,378 6,387 934,554 647,826 35,994 105,604 18,378 6,387 814,189 637,826 35,994 144,214 18,378 6,387 842,799
1996 648,819 45,039 168,139 18,957 7,777 888,731 539,537 40,576 125,357 19,592 7,777 732,839 539,537 40,576 168,139 18,957 7,777 774,986
1997 838,682 71,784 224,906 19,400 6,648 1,161,420 648,804 49,059 144,873 19,770 7,410 869,916 514,163 45,204 224,906 19,400 6,648 810,321
1998 877,042 114,482 234,574 24,399 13,193 1,263,690 568,013 127,616 159,136 20,602 10,139 885,506 666,194 114,482 234,574 24,399 13,193 1,052,842
1999 1,293,905 127,702 281,477 20,546 8,766 1,732,396 749,576 115,047 176,466 20,546 8,766 1,070,401 744,479 114,899 281,477 20,546 8,766 1,170,167
2000 1/ 1,847,481 175,778 258,359 24,676 9,754 2,316,048 1,554,407 98,116 212,487 24,676 9,858 1,899,544 1,531,357 97,441 258,359 24,676 9,754 1,921,587
*2001 1,095,833 158,315 443,477 34,849 24,520 1,756,994 1,043,240 83,596 307,592 20,045 9,373 1,463,846 1,043,240 83,596 258,359 20,045 9,373 1,414,613
2002 1,791,663 135,026 422,284 26,548 12,311 2,387,832 892,917 79,472 217,661 19,722 9,373 1,219,145 892,917 79,472 282,913 19,722 9,373 1,284,397
2003 2/ 2,065,766 114,867 348,498 28,957 60,660 2,618,748 1,202,572 69,607 190,998 20,742 9,204 1,493,123 1,027,424 66,314 265,731 18,716 9,204 1,387,389
*2004  1,035,604 108,781 248,233 27,332 30,664 1,450,614 823,227 71,823 218,418 19,968 9,552 1,142,988 823,227 66,314 218,418 18,716 9,204 1,135,879
2005    2,376,389 83,659 252,672 29,412 31,028 2,773,160 656,318 71,540 194,609 20,463 19,936 962,866 656,318 71,540 275,395 20,463 19,936 1,043,652
*2006  2,425,296    81,873   272,244   27,635 30,223 2,837,271 753,651 73,339 217,942 20,571 20,245 1,085,748 656,318 71,540 217,942 20,463 19,936 986,199
2007 3/   1,377,308     132,212   296,898 132,184 67,246 1,905,848 2,603,431 84,188 203,588 20,861 35,263 2,947,331 2,603,431 84,188 231,418 20,861 35,263 2,975,161
2008  1,178,701      91,863   320,263     33,764 33,323 1,657,914 981,151 78,233 202,262 22,377 31,013 1,315,036 979,151 78,233 230,408 22,377 31,013 1,341,182
2009   1,499,133     117,932   378,381     29,629 46,390 2,071,465 1,396,737 83,428 220,938 26,852 33,199 1,761,154 1,396,737 83,428 250,049 26,852 33,199 1,790,265

 

* Re-enacted budget - with NEP budget only; estimated budget for GAA is the previous year's GAA budget or current year's NEP budget whichever is lower.

1/ - Census of Population and Housing (CPH) conducted
2/ - Census of Agriculture and Fisheries (CAF) conducted
3/ - Census of Population (PopCen) conducted (budget for 2007 Census not part of the proposed budget)

Notes:
(1) Census budgets include also the preparatory activities done before the census year and the data processing and dissemination activities done after the census year.
(2) BAS, BLES and SRTC were not able to provide the proposed budget figures from 1988 to 2000 due to unavailable records. GAA-approved figures were considered the proposed figures.

Sources: Major Statistical Agencies, National Expenditure Program (NEP), and General Appropriations Act (GAA).

 

Table 2.
Approval Rates and Share of PSS Statistical Budget by Administration
(with Census Budgets), 1988-2009
(in thousand pesos)

Year

Total Proposed Budget Census Budget Total DBM-Approved Budget
(Based on NEP)
Census Budget % of Budget Approval
(DBM-Approved Over Proposed)
Total Congress-Approved Budget (Based on GAA) Census Budget % of Budget Approval (Congress-Approved Over DBM-Proposed) % of Statistical Budget Approved (GAA) Over Proposed Total Government Budget**
(Based on GAA)
% of  Statistical Budget to Total Government Budget % Change in   Statistical Budget
(Column 5)
% Change
in Total  Government  Budget** (Column 8)
(1) (2)   (3)   (4)=(3)/(2) (5)   (6)=(5)/(3) (7)=(5)/(2) (8) (9)=(5)/(8) (10) (11)
Aquino Administration
1988 299,045   279,725   93.5 240,583   86.0 80.5 34,165,571 0.70  
1989 428,514   380,634   88.8 374,661   98.4 87.4 83,881,257 0.45 55.7 145.5
1990 1/ 739,799 198,087 727,088 215,351 98.3 719,020 215,351 98.9 97.2 93,702,687 0.77 91.9 11.7
Total 1988-1990 1,467,357   1,387,447     1,334,264   90.9 211,749,515 0.63  
1991 2/ 607,984 213,428 616,635 208,928 101.4 389,100 50,000 63.1 64.0 137,638,129 0.28 -45.9 46.9
1992 638,871 178,081 626,996 178,081 98.1 626,996 178,081 100.0 98.1 178,151,671 0.35 61.1 29.4
Total 2,714,212   2,631,078   96.9 2,350,360   89.3 86.6 527,539,315 0.45    
RamosAdministration
1993 754,925   414,032   54.8 414,032   100.0 54.8 292,777,030 0.14 -34.0 64.3
1994 666,272   504,111   75.7 488,373   96.9 73.3 253,396,612 0.19 18.0 -13.5
1995 3/ 934,554 300,000 814,189 300,000 87.1 842,799 300,000 103.5 90.2 310,801,101 0.27 72.6 22.7
1996 888,731   732,839   82.5 774,986   105.8 87.2 313,837,812 0.25 -8.0 1.0
1997 1,161,420   869,916   74.9 810,321   93.1 69.8 230,981,910 0.35 4.6 -26.4
1998 1,263,690   885,506   70.1 1,052,842   118.9 83.3 301,378,319 0.35 29.9 30.5
Total 5,669,593   4,220,593   74.4 4,383,353   103.9 77.3 1,703,172,784 0.26    
Estrada Administration
1999 1,732,396 249,808 1,070,401 129,730 61.8 1,170,167 126,070 109.3 67.5 282,874,566 0.41 11.1 -6.1
2000 1/ 2,316,048 947,957 1,899,544 912,017 82.0 1,921,587 906,199 101.2 83.0 298,327,423 0.64 64.2 5.5
*2001 1,756,994 181,738 1,463,846 49,811 83.3 1,414,613 49,811 96.6 80.5 329,066,548 0.43 -26.4 10.3
Total 5,805,437   4,433,791   76.4 4,506,366   101.6 77.6 910,268,537 0.50    
Arroyo Administration
2002 2,387,832 858,148 1,219,145 175,523 51.1 1,284,397 175,523 105.4 53.8 330,998,100 0.39 -9.2 0.6
2003 2/ 2,618,748 1,071,946 1,493,123 479,192 57.0 1,387,389 359,194 92.9 53.0 309,093,626 0.45 8.0 -6.6
*2004 1,450,614 82,393 1,142,988 68,213 78.8 1,135,879 68,213 99.4 78.3 307,281,485 0.37 -18.1 -0.6
2005 2,773,160 1,350,066 962,866   34.7 1,043,652   108.4 37.6 309,075,397 0.34 -8.1 0.6
*2006 2,837,271 1,392,230 1,085,748   38.3 986,199   90.8 34.8 290,804,111 0.34 -5.5 -5.9
2007 3/ 1,905,848   2,947,331 1,574,000 154.6 2,975,161 1,574,000 100.9 156.1 400,797,495 0.74 201.7 37.8
2008 1,657,914   1,315,036   79.3 1,341,182   102.0 80.9 459,000,340 0.29 -54.9 14.5
2009 2,071,465 361,703 1,761,154 361,703 85.0 1,790,265 361,703 101.7 86.4 568,945,387 0.31 33.5 24.0
Total 2007-2009 5,635,227   6,023,521     6,106,608   101.4 108.4    
Total 17,702,852   11,927,391   67.4 11,944,125   100.1 67.5 2,975,995,941 0.40    

* Re-enacted budget - with NEP budget only; estimated budget for GAA is the previous year's GAA budget or current year's NEP budget whichever is lower.

1/ - Census of Population and Housing (CPH) conducted
2/ - Census of Agriculture and Fisheries (CAF) conducted
3/ - Census of Population (PopCen) conducted (budget for 2007 Census not part of the proposed budget)

Notes:
(1) Census budgets include also the preparatory activities done before the census year and the data processing and dissemination activities done after the census year.
(2) BAS, BLES and SRTC were not able to provide the proposed budget figures from 1988 to 2000 due to unavailable records. GAA-approved figures were considered the proposed figures.

Sources: Major Statistical Agencies, National Expenditure Program (NEP), and General Appropriations Act (GAA).

 

Table 3.
Table 3. Approval Rates and Share of PSS Statistical Budget by Administration (without Census Budgets), 1988-2009
(in thousand pesos)

Year

Total Proposed Budget Total DBM-Approved Budget
(Based on NEP) 
% of Budget Approval
(DBM-Approved Over Proposed)
Total Congress-Approved Budget
(Based on GAA)
% of Budget Approval (Congress-Approved Over DBM-Proposed) % of Statistical Budget Approved (GAA) Over Proposed   Total Government Budget**         (Based on GAA) % of  Statistical Budget to Total Government Budget % Change in   Statistical Budget
(Column 5)        
% Change in Total  Government  Budget**
(Column 8)
(1) (2) (3) (4)=(3)/(2) (5) (6)=(5)/(3) (7)=(5)/(2) (8) (9)=(5)/(8) (10) (11)
Aquino Administration
1988 299,045 279,725 93.5 240,583 86.0 80.5 34,165,571 0.70  
1989 428,514 380,634 88.8 374,661 98.4 87.4 83,881,257 0.45 55.7 145.5
1990 1/ 541,712 511,737 94.5 503,669 98.4 93.0 93,702,687 0.54 34.4 11.7
1991 2/ 394,556 407,707 103.3 339,100 83.2 85.9 137,638,129 0.25 -32.7 46.9
1992 460,790 448,915 97.4 448,915 100.0 97.4 178,151,671 0.25 32.4 29.4
Total 2,124,616 2,028,718 95.5 1,906,928 94.0 89.8 527,539,315 0.36    
RamosAdministration
1993 754,925 414,032 54.8 414,032 100.0 54.8 292,777,030 0.14 -7.8 64.3
1994 666,272 504,111 75.7 488,373 96.9 73.3 253,396,612 0.19 18.0 -13.5
1995 3/ 634,554 514,189 81.0 542,799 105.6 85.5 310,801,101 0.17 11.1 22.7
1996 888,731 732,839 82.5 774,986 105.8 87.2 313,837,812 0.25 42.8 1.0
1997 1,161,420 869,916 74.9 810,321 93.1 69.8 230,981,910 0.35 4.6 -26.4
1998 1,263,690 885,506 70.1 1,052,842 118.9 83.3 301,378,319 0.35 29.9 30.5
Total 5,369,593 3,920,593 73.0 4,083,353 104.2 76.0 1,703,172,784 0.24    
Estrada Administration
1999 1,482,588 940,671 63.4 1,044,097 111.0 70.4 282,874,566 0.37 -0.8 -6.1
2000 1/ 1,368,091 987,527 72.2 1,015,388 102.8 74.2 298,327,423 0.34 -2.7 5.5
*2001 1,575,256 1,414,035 89.8 1,364,802 96.5 86.6 329,066,548 0.41 34.4 10.3
Total 4,425,934 3,342,233 75.5 3,424,286 102.5 77.4 910,268,537 0.38    
Arroyo Administration
2002 1,529,684 1,043,622 68.2 1,108,874 106.3 72.5 330,998,100 0.34 -18.8 0.6
2003 2/ 1,546,802 1,013,931 65.6 1,028,195 101.4 66.5 309,093,626 0.33 -7.3 -6.6
*2004 1,368,221 1,074,775 78.6 1,067,666 99.3 78.0 307,281,485 0.35 3.8 -0.6
2005 1,423,094 962,866 67.7 1,043,652 108.4 73.3 309,075,397 0.34 -2.2 0.6
*2006 1,445,041 1,085,748 75.1 986,199 90.8 68.2 290,804,111 0.34 -5.5 -5.9
2007 3/ 1,905,848 1,373,331 72.1 1,401,161 102.0 73.5 400,797,495 0.35 42.1 37.8
2008 1,657,914 1,315,036 79.3 1,341,182 102.0 80.9 459,000,340 0.29 -4.3 14.5
2009 1,709,762 1,399,451 81.9 1,428,562 102.1 83.6 568,945,387 0.25 6.5 24.0
Total 12,586,366 9,268,760 73.6 9,405,492 101.5 74.7 2,975,995,941 0.32    

 

* Re-enacted budget - with NEP budget only; estimated budget for GAA is the previous year's GAA budget or current year's NEP budget whichever is lower.

1/ - Census of Population and Housing (CPH) conducted
2/ - Census of Agriculture and Fisheries (CAF) conducted
3/ - Census of Population (PopCen) conducted (budget for 2007 Census not part of the proposed budget)

Notes:
(1) Census budgets include also the preparatory activities done before the census year and the data processing and dissemination activities done after the census year.
(2) BAS, BLES and SRTC were not able to provide the proposed budget figures from 1988 to 2000 due to unavailable records. GAA-approved figures were considered the proposed figures.

Sources: Major Statistical Agencies, National Expenditure Program (NEP), and General Appropriations Act (GAA).

 

Posted 10 August 2009

 

 

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